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Grêmio 2-1 São Paulo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Grêmio 2-1 São Paulo

Grêmio won 2-1 at home to São Paulo in Brasileirão Matchday 22 on Saturday 8 August 2026. The goals: Wallace 48', Cristian Pavón 86'.

How Grêmio won it

São Paulo struck first through an own goal by Marcos Antônio in the 45th minute (+2). Grêmio levelled at 1-1 in the 48th minute through Wallace, set up by Carlos Vinícius. Grêmio turned it round: Cristian Pavón made it 2-1 in the 86th minute. There was no time to answer it.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, A. Skettino Policarpo Bento, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Grêmio and 3 to São Paulo.

Grêmio: L. Ribeiro de Castro, 4-1-4-1 · São Paulo: D. Silvestre Júnior, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.98 for Grêmio and 1.35 for São Paulo.

Grêmio had 5 shots on target, São Paulo 4.

São Paulo had 52% of the ball, but Grêmio took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Grêmio came into it with 31 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 23% of their matches.

São Paulo came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.48 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Grêmio vs São Paulo: the match in numbers

GrêmioMatch statisticsSão Paulo
48%Ball possession52%
1.98Expected goals (xG)1.35
12Total shots19
5Shots on target4
3Big chances4
427Total passes468
85%Pass accuracy85%
7Corners7
12Fouls19
2Offsides2
9Tackles9
4Saves3
4Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Cristian Pavón (Grêmio), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Grêmio

São Paulo

The lowest-rated starter was Juan Nardoni at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Grêmio vs São Paulo

What was the score in Grêmio vs São Paulo?

Grêmio 2-1 São Paulo (half-time 0-1), Brasileirão, Saturday 8 August 2026.

Who scored in Grêmio vs São Paulo?

Wallace 48', Cristian Pavón 86'.

Did Moneyball predict Grêmio vs São Paulo correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Grêmio vs São Paulo?

Cristian Pavón, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Grêmio vs São Paulo?

A. Skettino Policarpo Bento.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.