Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Independiente Rivadavia won 2-1 at home to Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 4 on Saturday 8 August 2026. The goals: Álex Arce 71', Álex Arce 80', Gabriel Alanís 88'.

How Independiente Rivadavia won it

Independiente Rivadavia struck first through Álex Arce from the penalty spot in the 71st minute. Álex Arce made it 2-0 to Independiente Rivadavia in the 80th minute, set up by Matías Fernández. Gabriel Alanís made it 2-1 to Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in the 88th minute.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Álex Arce scored twice.

The referee, G. Pereira, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Independiente Rivadavia and 3 to Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.

Independiente Rivadavia: A. Berti, 4-3-1-2 · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: R. Forestello, 3-1-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.35 for Independiente Rivadavia and 2.93 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.

Independiente Rivadavia scored about 1.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto left about 1.9 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto created the better chances, 2.93 xG to 0.35, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Independiente Rivadavia had 3 shots on target, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 3.

Independiente Rivadavia had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Independiente Rivadavia came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.39 expected goals for and 1.12 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto came into it with 29 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 0.86 expected goals for and 1.45 against, and had won 10% of their matches.

Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: the match in numbers

Independiente RivadaviaMatch statisticsEstudiantes de Río Cuarto
65%Ball possession35%
0.35Expected goals (xG)2.93
18Total shots6
3Shots on target3
4Big chances2
566Total passes313
82%Pass accuracy69%
4Corners3
10Fouls11
1Offsides1
21Tackles14
2Saves1
1Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Álex Arce (Independiente Rivadavia), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Independiente Rivadavia

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

The lowest-rated starter was Lucas Bruera at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

What was the score in Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?

Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (half-time 0-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Saturday 8 August 2026.

Who scored in Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?

Álex Arce 71', Álex Arce 80', Gabriel Alanís 88'.

Did Moneyball predict Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?

Álex Arce, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?

G. Pereira.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.