Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14
Liga Profesional Argentina · Monday 26 October 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Capital Federal · updated 2026-10-25
Barracas Central welcome Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia in Capital Federal in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14 action on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC.
Barracas Central have played 29 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 34% of them. At home they average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 14 matches, with a 50% win rate. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto have played 29 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 10% of them. Away from home they average 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 14 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Barracas Central are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 30% and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at 15%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Barracas Central 1.30, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.54.
- Over 2.5 goals: 28% · both teams to score: 31%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (29 and 29 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Barracas Central: form and key numbers
In style Barracas Central are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.89 a match created, 0.89 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.1).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 44.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 34% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: form and key numbers
In style Estudiantes de Río Cuarto play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.86 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: -11.8).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 2.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 21% of matches (17% away).
- Both teams scored in 31% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: season averages side by side
| Barracas Central | Per match this season | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Matches | 29 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 0.5 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 0.89 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.86 |
| 0.89 | xG conceded | 1.45 |
| 10.8 | Shots | 10.9 |
| 3.5 | On target | 2.4 |
| 44.6 | Possession % | 46.3 |
| 34% | Clean sheets % | 21% |
| 45% | Both teams scored % | 31% |
| 2.9 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.71 |
Players to watch
Barracas Central
- Enzo Taborda RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 49 · Dribbler, Big-chance creator (top 16% of his position)
- Marcelo Miño GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 47 · Long passer, Box defender (top 23% of his position)
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
- Alejandro Cabrera DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 51 · Long passer, Ball-winner (top 9% of his position)
- Facundo Cobos LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 39 · Ball-winner, Crosser (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gonzalo Maffini
Gonzalo Maffini, 33 · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 51
Gonzalo Maffini, 33, plays as a centre-back for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 51
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 4.08 / 90 | 95% |
| Duels won | 6.79 / 90 | 88% |
| Clearances | 7.71 / 90 | 82% |
| Interceptions | 1.92 / 90 | 79% |
| Long balls | 3.21 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Duel winner, Box defender.
- What Gonzalo Maffini is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gonzalo Maffini's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto prediction
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 1.8 goals - 1.30 for Barracas Central and 0.54 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - with over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams scoring at 31%. Barracas Central have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Barracas Central 2-0 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto betting tips
- Tip 1: Barracas Central win or draw (double chance) 85% between them
- Tip 2: Under 1.5 goals 44% by the model, 1.84 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 69% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Huracán vs Tigre Friday 30 October 2026
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: questions and answers
When is Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?
Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 00:30 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 14.
Where is Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto played?
At Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Capital Federal, Barracas Central's home ground.
Who will win Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?
Barracas Central are the favourites: Barracas Central 55%, draw 30%, Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 15%. Our prediction is Barracas Central 2-0 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.
Who is the player to watch in Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?
Gonzalo Maffini of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 51 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?
Moneyball's model expects about 1.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 28%.
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