Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

İstanbul Başakşehir 1-1 Kasımpaşa: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: İstanbul Başakşehir 1-1 Kasımpaşa

İstanbul Başakşehir and Kasımpaşa drew 1-1 in Süper Lig Matchday 3 on Sunday 30 August 2026 at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu. The goals: Eldor Shomurodov 18', Fousseni Diabaté 81'.

How the match unfolded

İstanbul Başakşehir struck first through Eldor Shomurodov in the 18th minute, set up by Umut Bozok. Kasımpaşa levelled at 1-1 in the 81st minute through Fousseni Diabaté, set up by Adrian Benedyczak.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, H. Meler, showed 4 yellow cards: 3 to İstanbul Başakşehir and 1 to Kasımpaşa.

İstanbul Başakşehir: N. Şahin, 4-2-3-1 · Kasımpaşa: E. Belözoğlu, 5-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.43 for İstanbul Başakşehir and 0.62 for Kasımpaşa.

İstanbul Başakşehir created the better chances, 1.43 xG to 0.62, and still did not win. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

İstanbul Başakşehir had 2 shots on target, Kasımpaşa 3.

İstanbul Başakşehir had 64% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

İstanbul Başakşehir came into it with 8 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.61 expected goals for and 1.50 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Kasımpaşa came into it with 9 Süper Lig matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.14 expected goals for and 1.25 against, and had won 44% of their matches.

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa: the match in numbers

İstanbul BaşakşehirMatch statisticsKasımpaşa
64%Ball possession36%
1.43Expected goals (xG)0.62
12Total shots12
2Shots on target3
1Big chances2
640Total passes362
88%Pass accuracy77%
5Corners3
11Fouls13
2Offsides3
9Tackles12
2Saves1
3Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Andreas Skov Olsen (İstanbul Başakşehir), rated 7.3 by Sportmonks.

İstanbul Başakşehir

Kasımpaşa

The lowest-rated starter was Andreas Gianniotis at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa

What was the score in İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

İstanbul Başakşehir 1-1 Kasımpaşa (half-time 1-0), Süper Lig, Sunday 30 August 2026.

Who scored in İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

Eldor Shomurodov 18', Fousseni Diabaté 81'.

Did Moneyball predict İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

Andreas Skov Olsen, rated 7.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa?

H. Meler.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.