Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 9
Süper Lig · Monday 26 October 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Beşiktaş Stadium, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-25
Beşiktaş welcome İstanbul Başakşehir to Beşiktaş Stadium in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 9 action on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Beşiktaş have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 63% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 80% win rate. İstanbul Başakşehir have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 38% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Beşiktaş are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 23% and İstanbul Başakşehir at 21%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Beşiktaş 1.95, İstanbul Başakşehir 1.13.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Beşiktaş: form and key numbers
In style Beşiktaş keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 17.8 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 61.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
İstanbul Başakşehir: form and key numbers
In style İstanbul Başakşehir play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 51.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 38% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir: season averages side by side
| Beşiktaş | Per match this season | İstanbul Başakşehir |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.61 |
| 0.88 | xG conceded | 1.50 |
| 17.8 | Shots | 12.4 |
| 6.4 | On target | 4.0 |
| 61.9 | Possession % | 51.8 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 38% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 7.5 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Beşiktaş
- Dušan Vlahović CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 39 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 2% of his position)
- Orkun Kökçü CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 34 · Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator (top 10% of his position)
İstanbul Başakşehir
- Andreas Skov Olsen RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 34 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 11% of his position)
- Ivan Brnic LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 31 · Big-chance creator, Press-resistant (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Salih Özcan
Salih Özcan, 28 · Beşiktaş · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 41
Salih Özcan, 28, plays as a defensive midfielder for Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and tackles. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 93% | 97% |
| Tackles | 3.53 / 90 | 71% |
| Long balls | 3.67 / 90 | 63% |
| Duels won | 6.91 / 90 | 61% |
| Dispossessed | 0.28 / 90 | 60% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Salih Özcan is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Salih Özcan's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir prediction
Beşiktaş should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.95 for Beşiktaş and 1.13 for İstanbul Başakşehir - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 59%. Beşiktaş have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Beşiktaş 2-1 İstanbul Başakşehir
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir betting tips
- Tip 1: Beşiktaş to win 56% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 3.08 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
- Göztepe vs Çorum FK Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
- Amed SK vs Eyüpspor Sunday 1 November 2026
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir: questions and answers
When is Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir is on Monday 26 October 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 9.
Where is Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir played?
At Beşiktaş Stadium, İstanbul, Beşiktaş's home ground.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Beşiktaş are the favourites: Beşiktaş 56%, draw 23%, İstanbul Başakşehir 21%. Our prediction is Beşiktaş 2-1 İstanbul Başakşehir.
Who is the player to watch in Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Salih Özcan of Beşiktaş: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 41 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.