Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 10
Süper Lig · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-25
Kasımpaşa welcome Beşiktaş to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Kasımpaşa have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 25% win rate. Beşiktaş have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 63% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 20% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Kasımpaşa 33%, the draw 28%, Beşiktaş 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Kasımpaşa 1.21, Beşiktaş 1.33.
- Over 2.5 goals: 47% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Kasımpaşa: form and key numbers
In style Kasımpaşa are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.7).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 42.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Beşiktaş: form and key numbers
In style Beşiktaş keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 17.8 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 61.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş: season averages side by side
| Kasımpaşa | Per match this season | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 1.25 | xG conceded | 0.88 |
| 12.6 | Shots | 17.8 |
| 4.0 | On target | 6.4 |
| 42.9 | Possession % | 61.9 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 7.5 |
| 2.8 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
Kasımpaşa
- Andreas Gianniotis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 38 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 51% of his position)
- Ali Yavuz Kol LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 25 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 9% of his position)
Beşiktaş
- Dušan Vlahović CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 39 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 2% of his position)
- Orkun Kökçü CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 34 · Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator (top 10% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Salih Özcan
Salih Özcan, 28 · Beşiktaş · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 41
Salih Özcan, 28, plays as a defensive midfielder for Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and tackles. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 93% | 97% |
| Tackles | 3.53 / 90 | 71% |
| Long balls | 3.67 / 90 | 63% |
| Duels won | 6.91 / 90 | 61% |
| Dispossessed | 0.28 / 90 | 60% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Salih Özcan is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Salih Özcan's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş prediction
Beşiktaş should have more of the ball, with Kasımpaşa likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.21 for Kasımpaşa and 1.33 for Beşiktaş - with over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 52%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 53% by the model, 2.54 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
- Göztepe vs Çorum FK Sunday 25 October 2026
- Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir Monday 26 October 2026
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş: questions and answers
When is Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 10.
Where is Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş played?
At Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul, Kasımpaşa's home ground.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
It is close: Kasımpaşa 33%, draw 28%, Beşiktaş 39%. Our prediction is Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş.
Who is the player to watch in Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
Salih Özcan of Beşiktaş: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 41 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.