Kasimpasa vs Besiktas Prediction and Betting Tips | Super Lig Gameweek 10
Super Lig · Sunday 1 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-01
Kasimpasa welcome Besiktas to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in İstanbul in Super Lig Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Kasimpasa have played 9 matches in Super Lig this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 25% win rate. Besiktas have played 9 matches in Super Lig this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 17% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Besiktas are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 23% and Kasimpasa at 18%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Kasimpasa +1 at 1.78, Besiktas at 1.94. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.81, under 1.89, which gives over 51%.
Kasimpasa: form and key numbers
In style Kasimpasa are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.7).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 42.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Besiktas: form and key numbers
In style Besiktas keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.82 a match created, 0.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.6).
- Shots: 17.7 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 62.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas: season averages side by side
| Kasimpasa | Per match | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.51 |
| 1.25 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.44 | Goals | 1.89 |
| 12.6 | Shots | 16.6 |
| 4.0 | Shots on target | 4.6 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | – |
| 40.9 | Pressure share % | – |
| 16.2 | Tackles | 12.8 |
| 15.3 | Fouls | 9.8 |
| 2.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 9 and 9 measured matches.
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Kasimpasa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Kasimpasa 6, Besiktas 5 - 2.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Besiktas 2-1 Kasimpasa (March 19th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Kasimpasa won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2026 | Besiktas | 2 – 1 | Kasimpasa |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Kasimpasa | 1 – 1 | Besiktas |
| 7 Apr 2025 | Kasimpasa | 1 – 1 | Besiktas |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Besiktas | 1 – 3 | Kasimpasa |
Players to watch
Kasimpasa
- Andreas Gianniotis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 39 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 50% of his position)
- Kévin Mouanga CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 25 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 27% of his position)
Besiktas
- Salih Özcan DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 37 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 5% of his position)
- Orkun Kökçü CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 35 · Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Dušan Vlahović
Dušan Vlahović, 26 · Beşiktaş · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 49
Dušan Vlahović, 26, plays as a centre-forward for Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 49
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 43
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 xG/shot | 91% |
| Expected goals | 0.85 / 90 | 78% |
| Shots on target | 59% | 78% |
| Goals | 0.98 / 90 | 69% |
| Shots | 3.61 / 90 | 54% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots.
- What Dušan Vlahović is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Dušan Vlahović's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas prediction
Besiktas should have more of the ball, with Kasimpasa likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Kasimpasa go long and direct; Besiktas like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.17 for Kasimpasa and 1.40 for Besiktas - with over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 53%. Besiktas have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Kasimpasa 1-2 Besiktas
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas betting tips
- Tip 1: Besiktas to win 59% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 53% by the model, 2.56 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Kasimpasa vs Besiktas: questions and answers
When is Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?
Kasimpasa vs Besiktas is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Super Lig Gameweek 10.
Where is Kasimpasa vs Besiktas played?
At Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul, Kasimpasa's home ground.
Who will win Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?
Besiktas are the favourites: Kasimpasa 18%, draw 23%, Besiktas 59%. Our prediction is Kasimpasa 1-2 Besiktas.
Who is the player to watch in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?
Dušan Vlahović of Beşiktaş: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 49 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.