Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK Prediction and Betting Tips | Super Lig Gameweek 10
Super Lig · Sunday 1 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-01
Trabzonspor welcome Gaziantep FK to Papara Park in Trabzon in Super Lig Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Trabzonspor have played 9 matches in Super Lig this season, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 3.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate. Gaziantep FK have played 9 matches in Super Lig this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Trabzonspor are clear favourites at 70%, with the draw at 17% and Gaziantep FK at 13%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.7% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Trabzonspor -1.5 at 1.75, Gaziantep FK at 1.97. The main goals line is 3.25: over 1.70, under 2.00, which gives over 54%.
Trabzonspor: form and key numbers
In style Trabzonspor keep the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.74 a match created, 1.56 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.4).
- Shots: 13.9 a match, 6.9 on target.
- Possession: 52.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.02.
Gaziantep FK: form and key numbers
In style Gaziantep FK play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.18 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK: season averages side by side
| Trabzonspor | Per match | Gaziantep FK |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.18 |
| 1.56 | xG conceded | 1.58 |
| 2.44 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 13.9 | Shots | 13.7 |
| 6.9 | Shots on target | 3.7 |
| 2.3 | Big chances missed | 1.8 |
| 50.0 | Pressure share % | 51.5 |
| 15.3 | Tackles | 13.9 |
| 11.0 | Fouls | 12.2 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 9 and 9 measured matches.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Trabzonspor have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 0 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Trabzonspor 6, Gaziantep FK 4 - 2.5 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Gaziantep FK 1-2 Trabzonspor (February 22nd 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Trabzonspor won 2, drew 2 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Gaziantep FK | 1 – 2 | Trabzonspor |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Trabzonspor | 1 – 1 | Gaziantep FK |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Trabzonspor | 3 – 2 | Gaziantep FK |
| 23 Sep 2024 | Gaziantep FK | 0 – 0 | Trabzonspor |
Players to watch
Trabzonspor
- Franculino CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 54 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 1% of his position)
- Wagner Pina RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 45 · Creator, Secure passer (top 4% of his position)
Gaziantep FK
- Arda Kızıldağ CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37 · Dominant in the air, Reads the game (top 14% of his position)
- Alexandru Maxim AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 33 · Secure passer, Chance creator (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah, 34 · Trabzonspor · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 60
Mohamed Salah, 34, plays as a winger for Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 60
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 48
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 32
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.68 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected goals | 0.48 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 92% |
| Big chances created | 0.61 / 90 | 89% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.23 / 90 | 74% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Gets into scoring positions, Creator.
⚠ 8 goals from only 3.9 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Mohamed Salah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mohamed Salah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK prediction
Trabzonspor should have more of the ball; Trabzonspor like to take players on; Gaziantep FK work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.34 for Trabzonspor and 1.00 for Gaziantep FK - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 57%. Trabzonspor have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Trabzonspor 2-1 Gaziantep FK
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK betting tips
- Tip 1: Trabzonspor to win 70% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 65% by the model, 3.33 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK: questions and answers
When is Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Super Lig Gameweek 10.
Where is Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK played?
At Papara Park, Trabzon, Trabzonspor's home ground.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?
Trabzonspor are the favourites: Trabzonspor 70%, draw 17%, Gaziantep FK 13%. Our prediction is Trabzonspor 2-1 Gaziantep FK.
Who is the player to watch in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?
Mohamed Salah of Trabzonspor: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.