Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza Prediction and Betting Tips
Liga Profesional · Sunday 1 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-01
Lanus welcome Gimnasia Mendoza to Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez in Lanús in Liga Profesional action on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Lanus have played 31 matches in Liga Profesional this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 15 matches, with a 54% win rate. Gimnasia Mendoza have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Lanus are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 25% and Gimnasia Mendoza at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Lanus -1 at 1.97, Gimnasia Mendoza at 1.75. The main goals line is 2.25: over 1.78, under 1.93, which gives over 52%.
Lanus: form and key numbers
In style Lanus play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.26 a match created, 1.06 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.9).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (57% at home).
- Both teams scored in 35% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza: season averages side by side
| Lanus | Per match | Gimnasia Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 1.06 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.13 | Goals | – |
| 12.5 | Shots | – |
| 4.3 | Shots on target | – |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | – |
| 53.0 | Pressure share % | – |
| 17.1 | Tackles | – |
| 11.8 | Fouls | – |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | – |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 31 and – measured matches.
Players to watch
Lanus
- Matías Sepúlveda LMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 56 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 6% of his position)
- Dylan Aquino LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 54 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 21% of his position)
Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.33 for Lanus and 0.92 for Gimnasia Mendoza - with over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 45%. Lanus have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Lanus 2-0 Gimnasia Mendoza
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza betting tips
- Tip 1: Lanus to win 58% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 2.25 goals expected
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza: questions and answers
When is Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza?
Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Liga Profesional.
Where is Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza played?
At Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Lanus's home ground.
Who will win Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza?
Lanus are the favourites: Lanus 58%, draw 25%, Gimnasia Mendoza 17%. Our prediction is Lanus 2-0 Gimnasia Mendoza.
How many goals will there be in Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.