Belgrano vs Barracas Central Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Estadio Julio César Villagra, Ciudad de Córdoba · updated 2026-10-25
Belgrano welcome Barracas Central to Estadio Julio César Villagra in Ciudad de Córdoba in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC.
Belgrano have played 33 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 48% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 16 matches, with a 50% win rate. Barracas Central have played 29 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 34% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 15 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Belgrano 40%, the draw 33%, Barracas Central 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Belgrano 1.07, Barracas Central 0.81.
- Over 2.5 goals: 29% · both teams to score: 37%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (33 and 29 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Belgrano: form and key numbers
In style Belgrano play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.20 a match created, 1.29 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 51.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 48% of matches (38% at home).
- Both teams scored in 39% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 6.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Barracas Central: form and key numbers
In style Barracas Central are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.89 a match created, 0.89 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.1).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 44.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 34% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Belgrano vs Barracas Central: season averages side by side
| Belgrano | Per match this season | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Matches | 29 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 1.20 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.89 |
| 1.29 | xG conceded | 0.89 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 10.8 |
| 4.1 | On target | 3.5 |
| 51.1 | Possession % | 44.6 |
| 48% | Clean sheets % | 34% |
| 39% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 2.9 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Belgrano
- Lisandro López CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 45 · Disciplined, Box defender (top 10% of his position)
- Alcides Benítez RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 45 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 7% of his position)
Barracas Central
- Enzo Taborda RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 49 · Dribbler, Big-chance creator (top 16% of his position)
- Marcelo Miño GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 47 · Long passer, Box defender (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Kevin Jappert
Kevin Jappert, 22 · Barracas Central · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 46
Kevin Jappert, 22, plays as a centre-back for Barracas Central in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in interceptions and duels won. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 46
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 2.51 / 90 | 95% |
| Duels won | 6.37 / 90 | 79% |
| Tackles | 2.27 / 90 | 79% |
| Aerial duels won | 2.57 / 90 | 55% |
| Dribbled past | 0.31 / 90 | 55% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Reads the game.
- What Kevin Jappert is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Kevin Jappert's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Belgrano vs Barracas Central prediction
Belgrano should have more of the ball, with Barracas Central likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Belgrano like to take players on; Barracas Central are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 1.9 goals - 1.07 for Belgrano and 0.81 for Barracas Central - with over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams scoring at 37%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Belgrano 1-1 Barracas Central
Belgrano vs Barracas Central betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Under 1.5 goals 43% by the model, 1.88 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 63% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 10.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 6.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
Belgrano vs Barracas Central: questions and answers
When is Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
Belgrano vs Barracas Central is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 21:30 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15.
Where is Belgrano vs Barracas Central played?
At Estadio Julio César Villagra, Ciudad de Córdoba, Belgrano's home ground.
Who will win Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
It is close: Belgrano 40%, draw 33%, Barracas Central 26%. Our prediction is Belgrano 1-1 Barracas Central.
Who is the player to watch in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
Kevin Jappert of Barracas Central: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 46 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
Moneyball's model expects about 1.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 29%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.