Lommel vs KAA Gent Prediction and Betting Tips
Pro League · Sunday 1 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-01
Lommel welcome KAA Gent to Soevereinstadion in Lommel in Pro League action on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Lommel have played 9 matches in Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate. KAA Gent have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, KAA Gent are narrow favourites at 53%, with the draw at 26% and Lommel at 22%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Lommel +0.75 at 1.84, KAA Gent at 1.89. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.96, under 1.74, which gives over 47%.
Lommel: form and key numbers
In style Lommel are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 11.1 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Lommel vs KAA Gent: season averages side by side
| Lommel | Per match | KAA Gent |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 1.85 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.22 | Goals | – |
| 11.1 | Shots | – |
| 3.3 | Shots on target | – |
| 1.0 | Big chances missed | – |
| 32.8 | Pressure share % | – |
| 14.6 | Tackles | – |
| 7.7 | Fouls | – |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | – |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 9 and – measured matches.
Players to watch
Lommel
- Matthias Pieklak GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 58 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 26% of his position)
- Shawn Adewoye CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 56 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
Lommel vs KAA Gent prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.34 for Lommel and 1.34 for KAA Gent - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. KAA Gent have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Lommel 1-2 KAA Gent
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Lommel vs KAA Gent betting tips
- Tip 1: KAA Gent win or draw (double chance) 78% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.68 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Lommel vs KAA Gent: questions and answers
When is Lommel vs KAA Gent?
Lommel vs KAA Gent is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Pro League.
Where is Lommel vs KAA Gent played?
At Soevereinstadion, Lommel, Lommel's home ground.
Who will win Lommel vs KAA Gent?
KAA Gent are the favourites: Lommel 22%, draw 26%, KAA Gent 53%. Our prediction is Lommel 1-2 KAA Gent.
How many goals will there be in Lommel vs KAA Gent?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.