Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond · updated 2026-10-25
Sint-Truiden welcome OH Leuven to Stayen Stadion in St.-Trond in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Sint-Truiden have played 8 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. OH Leuven have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 11% of them. Away from home they average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Sint-Truiden are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 20% and OH Leuven at 20%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sint-Truiden 2.30, OH Leuven 1.30.
- Over 2.5 goals: 70% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Sint-Truiden: form and key numbers
In style Sint-Truiden keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.98 a match created, 1.59 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 56.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
OH Leuven: form and key numbers
In style OH Leuven play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created, 2.03 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.1).
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 46.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven: season averages side by side
| Sint-Truiden | Per match this season | OH Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.9 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.98 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.46 |
| 1.59 | xG conceded | 2.03 |
| 16.9 | Shots | 13.3 |
| 4.6 | On target | 2.8 |
| 56.3 | Possession % | 46.9 |
| 13% | Clean sheets % | 11% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Sint-Truiden
- Visar Musliu CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 66 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 14% of his position)
- Samed Bazdar CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 63 · Clinical finisher, Gets into scoring positions (top 14% of his position)
OH Leuven
- Óscar Gil RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 62 · Reads the game, Duel winner (top 8% of his position)
- Roggerio Nyakossi CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 58 · Reads the game, Blocks shots (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui, 25 · Sint-Truiden · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 70
Ilias Sebaoui, 25, plays as a winger for Sint-Truiden in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 70
- RW · Winger Competent, 42
- LM · Wide midfielder Competent, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4.06 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected goals | 0.52 / 90 | 93% |
| Big chances created | 0.51 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.27 / 90 | 70% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.02 / 90 | 69% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Ilias Sebaoui is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ilias Sebaoui's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven prediction
Sint-Truiden should have more of the ball, with OH Leuven likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Sint-Truiden work the ball wide and cross; OH Leuven are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 2.30 for Sint-Truiden and 1.30 for OH Leuven - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 66%. Sint-Truiden have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sint-Truiden 3-1 OH Leuven
Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven betting tips
- Tip 1: Sint-Truiden to win 59% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 70% by the model, 3.59 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Gent vs Anderlecht Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven: questions and answers
When is Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10.
Where is Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven played?
At Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond, Sint-Truiden's home ground.
Who will win Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Sint-Truiden are the favourites: Sint-Truiden 59%, draw 20%, OH Leuven 20%. Our prediction is Sint-Truiden 3-1 OH Leuven.
Who is the player to watch in Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Ilias Sebaoui of Sint-Truiden: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.