Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere Prediction and Betting Tips | Pro League Gameweek 10

Sporting Charleroi welcome RAAL La Louviere to Stade du Pays de Charleroi in Charleroi in Pro League Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026.

Sporting Charleroi have played 9 matches in Pro League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 78% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 43% win rate. RAAL La Louviere have played 9 matches in Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.

On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Sporting Charleroi are clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 22% and RAAL La Louviere at 16%.

The odds

Sporting Charleroi1.4561%
Draw3.9922%
RAAL La Louviere5.4016%

Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.5% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Sporting Charleroi -1 at 1.79, RAAL La Louviere at 1.93. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.85, under 1.85, which gives over 50%.

Sporting Charleroi: form and key numbers

In style Sporting Charleroi keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.

RAAL La Louviere: form and key numbers

In style RAAL La Louviere are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.

Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere: season averages side by side

Sporting CharleroiPer matchRAAL La Louviere
2.09Expected goals (xG)1.28
1.07xG conceded2.11
1.78Goals1.22
17.0Shots11.4
5.8Shots on target4.0
1.2Big chances missed1.3
60.4Pressure share %35.5
19.4Tackles18.3
10.3Fouls13.4
1.3Yellow cards2.3

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 9 and 9 measured matches.

Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings Sporting Charleroi won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

DateHomeScoreAway
29 Nov 2025Sporting Charleroi0 – 0RAAL La Louviere
10 Aug 2025RAAL La Louviere1 – 0Sporting Charleroi

Players to watch

Sporting Charleroi

RAAL La Louviere

Scouting spotlight: Aurélien Scheidler

Aurélien Scheidler, 28 · Sporting Charleroi · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 66

Aurélien Scheidler, 28, plays as a centre-forward for Sporting Charleroi in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Expected goals 72Goals 50Shots 47Shots on target 57Shot quality 82Aerial duels won 98Duels won 89Key passes 43Big chances missed 44

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • ST · Centre-forward Natural, 66
  • SS · Second striker Accomplished, 58

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Aerial duels won5.69 / 9098%
Duels won8.19 / 9089%
Shot quality (xG per shot)0.19 xG/shot82%
Expected goals0.62 / 9072%
Shots on target43%57%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
  • ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
  • ★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward

Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Duel winner, Takes high-quality shots.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Aurélien Scheidler is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Aurélien Scheidler's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere prediction

Sporting Charleroi should have more of the ball, with RAAL La Louviere likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 2.63 for Sporting Charleroi and 1.01 for RAAL La Louviere - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 59%. Sporting Charleroi have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: Sporting Charleroi 3-1 RAAL La Louviere

The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre

Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere betting tips

  1. Tip 1: Sporting Charleroi to win 61% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
  2. Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 70% by the model, 3.64 goals expected
  3. Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
  4. Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.7 cards a match between them
  5. Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

Open Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere in the Match Centre Follow it live

More Pro League previews

Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere: questions and answers

When is Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?

Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Pro League Gameweek 10.

Where is Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere played?

At Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi, Sporting Charleroi's home ground.

Who will win Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?

Sporting Charleroi are the favourites: Sporting Charleroi 61%, draw 22%, RAAL La Louviere 16%. Our prediction is Sporting Charleroi 3-1 RAAL La Louviere.

Who is the player to watch in Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?

Aurélien Scheidler of Sporting Charleroi: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?

Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.

Tags

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.