Madura United vs Java United F.C Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11
Liga 1 Indonesia · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan · updated 2026-11-14
Madura United welcome Java United F.C to Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium in Pamekasan in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Madura United have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate. Java United F.C have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 44% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Madura United are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 26% and Java United F.C at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Madura United 1.65, Java United F.C 1.17.
- Over 2.5 goals: 53% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Madura United: form and key numbers
In style Madura United are strong in the air, take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Shots: 12.1 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 47.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
Java United F.C: form and key numbers
In style Java United F.C are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 44.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 78% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.59.
Madura United vs Java United F.C: season averages side by side
| Madura United | Per match this season | Java United F.C |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 12.1 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 4.8 | On target | 5.3 |
| 47.1 | Possession % | 44.6 |
| 44% | Clean sheets % | 11% |
| 44% | Both teams scored % | 78% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.62 | Average rating | 6.59 |
Players to watch
Madura United
- Angga Saputra GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 3% of his position)
- Dimitar Mitkov CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 4 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 41% of his position)
Java United F.C
Scouting spotlight: Ilhamsyah
Ilhamsyah, 27 · Madura United · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 4
Ilhamsyah, 27, plays as a defensive midfielder for Madura United in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 4
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 4
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 60% |
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 58% |
| Dispossessed | 0.23 / 90 | 15% |
| Interceptions | 2.91 / 90 | 11% |
| Blocked shots | 0.47 / 90 | 2% |
Roles he suits
- ★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- What Ilhamsyah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Madura United vs Java United F.C prediction
Madura United should have more of the ball; Madura United are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Java United F.C work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.65 for Madura United and 1.17 for Java United F.C - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 56%. Madura United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Madura United 2-1 Java United F.C
Madura United vs Java United F.C: what the numbers say
- 1. Madura United unbeaten (win or draw) 74% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.82 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026
- Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026
- Dewa United vs Persita Friday 20 November 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026
- Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta Saturday 21 November 2026
- Bhayangkara vs Persijap Saturday 21 November 2026
- PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026
- Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026
Madura United vs Java United F.C: questions and answers
When is Madura United vs Java United F.C?
Madura United vs Java United F.C is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11.
Where is Madura United vs Java United F.C played?
At Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan, Madura United's home ground.
Who will win Madura United vs Java United F.C?
Madura United are the favourites: Madura United 48%, draw 26%, Java United F.C 26%. Our prediction is Madura United 2-1 Java United F.C.
Who is the player to watch in Madura United vs Java United F.C?
Ilhamsyah of Madura United: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 4 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Madura United vs Java United F.C?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.