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Marítimo 1-0 Casa Pia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Marítimo 1-0 Casa Pia

Marítimo won 1-0 at home to Casa Pia in Liga Portugal Matchday 1 on Saturday 8 August 2026. The goals: Raphael Guzzo 61'.

How Marítimo won it

Marítimo struck first through Raphael Guzzo in the 61st minute, set up by Martín Tejón.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, S. dos Santos Guelho, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Marítimo and 2 to Casa Pia.

Marítimo: M. van der Gaag, 4-2-3-1 · Casa Pia: F. Curto Coelho, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.54 for Marítimo and 1.35 for Casa Pia.

Casa Pia left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Casa Pia created the better chances, 1.35 xG to 0.54, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Marítimo had 4 shots on target, Casa Pia 4.

Casa Pia had 61% of the ball, but Marítimo took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Marítimo came into it with 9 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.1 a match, with 0.86 expected goals for and 1.48 against, and had won 22% of their matches.

Casa Pia came into it with 9 Liga Portugal matches played, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 0.88 expected goals for and 1.72 against, and had won 22% of their matches.

Marítimo vs Casa Pia: the match in numbers

MarítimoMatch statisticsCasa Pia
39%Ball possession61%
0.54Expected goals (xG)1.35
16Total shots9
4Shots on target4
2Big chances1
305Total passes470
78%Pass accuracy89%
2Corners6
17Fouls13
0Offsides1
18Tackles11
4Saves3
2Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Martín Tejón (Marítimo), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 assist.

Marítimo

Casa Pia

The lowest-rated starter was André Geraldes at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Marítimo vs Casa Pia

What was the score in Marítimo vs Casa Pia?

Marítimo 1-0 Casa Pia (half-time 0-0), Liga Portugal, Saturday 8 August 2026.

Who scored in Marítimo vs Casa Pia?

Raphael Guzzo 61'.

Did Moneyball predict Marítimo vs Casa Pia correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Marítimo vs Casa Pia?

Martín Tejón, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Marítimo vs Casa Pia?

S. dos Santos Guelho.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.