Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Norwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Norwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers won 4-3 away at Norwich City in Championship Matchday 8 on Sunday 20 September 2026. The goals: Mohamed Touré 5', Thierry Gale 8', Ruairi McConville 19', Gaizka Larrazabal 42', Sam Dalby 47', Jack Stacey 61', Atsuki Ito 72'.

How Bolton Wanderers won it

Norwich City struck first through Mohamed Touré in the 5th minute, set up by Andre Brooks. Bolton Wanderers levelled at 1-1 in the 8th minute through Thierry Gale, set up by Rúben Rodrigues. Ruairi McConville made it 2-1 to Norwich City in the 19th minute, set up by Oscar Schwartau. Bolton Wanderers levelled at 2-2 in the 42nd minute through Gaizka Larrazabal, set up by Max Conway. Bolton Wanderers turned it round: Sam Dalby made it 2-3 in the 47th minute, set up by Kyliane Dong. Norwich City levelled at 3-3 in the 61st minute through Jack Stacey, set up by Paris Maghoma. Atsuki Ito made it 3-4 to Bolton Wanderers in the 72nd minute, set up by Samuel Iling-Junior.

It was 2-2 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

Norwich City: P. Clement, 4-2-3-1 · Bolton Wanderers: S. Schumacher, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.33 for Norwich City and 0.85 for Bolton Wanderers.

Norwich City scored about 1.7 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Bolton Wanderers made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.1 goals.

Norwich City had 4 shots on target, Bolton Wanderers 5.

Norwich City had 59% of the ball, but Bolton Wanderers took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Norwich City came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.41 expected goals for and 1.64 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Bolton Wanderers came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 2.00 against, and had won 33% of their matches.

Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers: the match in numbers

Norwich CityMatch statisticsBolton Wanderers
59%Ball possession41%
1.33Expected goals (xG)0.85
10Total shots9
4Shots on target5
2Big chances3
468Total passes330
81%Pass accuracy78%
4Corners2
11Fouls12
8Offsides4
15Tackles14
1Saves1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Sam Dalby (Bolton Wanderers), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Norwich City

Bolton Wanderers

The lowest-rated starter was Vladan Kovacevic at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers

What was the score in Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Norwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers (half-time 2-2), Championship, Sunday 20 September 2026.

Who scored in Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Mohamed Touré 5', Thierry Gale 8', Ruairi McConville 19', Gaizka Larrazabal 42', Sam Dalby 47', Jack Stacey 61', Atsuki Ito 72'.

Did Moneyball predict Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Sam Dalby, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers?

T. Nield.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.