Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Orenburg 4-0 Dynamo Makhachkala: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Orenburg 4-0 Dynamo Makhachkala

Orenburg 4-0 Dynamo Makhachkala: Orenburg took the points in Russian Premier League Matchday 10 on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Stadion Gazovik. The goals: Jordhy Thompson 17', Jhon Alex Palacios 39', Gedeon Guzina 53', Jordhy Thompson 69'.

How Orenburg won it

Jordhy Thompson put Orenburg ahead in the 17th minute, set up by Maxime Sivis. Jhon Alex Palacios made it 2-0 to Orenburg in the 39th minute, set up by Ruslan Kul. Gedeon Guzina made it 3-0 to Orenburg in the 53rd minute, set up by Damián Puebla. Jordhy Thompson from the penalty spot made it 4-0 to Orenburg in the 69th minute.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Jordhy Thompson scored twice.

The referee, S. Matveev, showed 1 yellow card: 0 to Orenburg and 1 to Dynamo Makhachkala.

Orenburg: I. Akhmetzyanov, 4-2-3-1 · Dynamo Makhachkala: V. Evseev, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.30 for Orenburg and 3.15 for Dynamo Makhachkala.

Orenburg scored about 2.7 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Dynamo Makhachkala left about 3.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Dynamo Makhachkala created the better chances, 3.15 xG to 1.30, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Orenburg had 8 shots on target, Dynamo Makhachkala 4.

Dynamo Makhachkala had 62% of the ball, but Orenburg took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Orenburg came into it with 12 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.41 expected goals for and 1.40 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Dynamo Makhachkala came into it with 11 Russian Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 36% of their matches.

Orenburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala: the match in numbers

OrenburgMatch statisticsDynamo Makhachkala
38%Ball possession62%
1.30Expected goals (xG)3.15
17Total shots13
8Shots on target4
5Big chances2
258Total passes440
59%Pass accuracy75%
7Corners4
17Fouls7
1Offsides0
14Tackles14
4Saves4
0Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jordhy Thompson (Orenburg), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Orenburg

Dynamo Makhachkala

The lowest-rated starter was Temirkan Sundukov at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Orenburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala

What was the score in Orenburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Orenburg 4-0 Dynamo Makhachkala (half-time 2-0), Russian Premier League, Saturday 10 October 2026.

Who scored in Orenburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Jordhy Thompson 17', Jhon Alex Palacios 39', Gedeon Guzina 53', Jordhy Thompson 69'.

Did Moneyball predict Orenburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Orenburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

Jordhy Thompson, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Orenburg vs Dynamo Makhachkala?

S. Matveev.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.