Palmeiras 1-0 Bahia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 29 · Friday 9 October 2026 · Allianz Parque, São Paulo · referee B. da Silva Machado · full time
Full time: Palmeiras 1-0 Bahia
Palmeiras beat Bahia 1-0 in Brasileirão Matchday 29 on Friday 9 October 2026 at Allianz Parque. The goals: José Manuel López 7'.
How Palmeiras won it
The opening goal came in the 7th minute: José Manuel López for Palmeiras, set up by Alexander Barboza.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, B. da Silva Machado, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Palmeiras and 2 to Bahia.
Palmeiras: A. Moreira Ferreira, 3-4-2-1 · Bahia: R. Mücke Ceni, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.67 for Palmeiras and 2.39 for Bahia.
Bahia left about 2.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Bahia created the better chances, 2.39 xG to 0.67, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Palmeiras had 11 shots on target, Bahia 1.
Bahia's goalkeeper made 10 saves.
Bahia had 59% of the ball, but Palmeiras took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Palmeiras came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and 1.04 against, and had won 63% of their matches.
Bahia came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 41% of their matches.
Palmeiras vs Bahia: the match in numbers
| Palmeiras | Match statistics | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 41% | Ball possession | 59% |
| 0.67 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.39 |
| 25 | Total shots | 10 |
| 11 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 5 | Big chances | 0 |
| 362 | Total passes | 541 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 22 | Tackles | 9 |
| 1 | Saves | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Ronaldo (Bahia), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.
Palmeiras
- Andreas Pereira 8.3
- Marlon Freitas 8.1
- José Manuel López 7.6 1 goal
- Alexander Barboza 7.6 1 assist
- Gustavo Gómez 7.5
Bahia
- Ronaldo 9.0
- Kanu 7.2
- Luciano Juba 6.9
- Caio Alexandre 6.8
- Ademir 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Erick Pulga at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Palmeiras: Santos vs Palmeiras Wednesday 28 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Bahia: Bahia vs São Paulo Thursday 29 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Palmeiras vs Bahia
What was the score in Palmeiras vs Bahia?
Palmeiras 1-0 Bahia (half-time 1-0), Brasileirão, Friday 9 October 2026.
Who scored in Palmeiras vs Bahia?
José Manuel López 7'.
Did Moneyball predict Palmeiras vs Bahia correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Palmeiras vs Bahia?
Ronaldo, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Palmeiras vs Bahia?
B. da Silva Machado.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.