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Palmeiras 4-1 Corinthians: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Palmeiras 4-1 Corinthians

Palmeiras won 4-1 at home to Corinthians in Brasileirão Matchday 30 on Sunday 11 October 2026. The goals: Alexander Barboza 16', Agustín Giay 45+1', Agustín Giay 51', Gustavo Henrique 90+1'.

How Palmeiras won it

Palmeiras struck first through Alexander Barboza in the 16th minute, set up by Lucas Evangelista. Agustín Giay made it 2-0 to Palmeiras in the 45th minute (+1), set up by Jhon Arias. An own goal by Matheus Bidu made it 3-0 to Palmeiras in the 46th minute. Agustín Giay made it 4-0 to Palmeiras in the 51st minute. Gustavo Henrique made it 4-1 to Corinthians in the 90th minute (+1), set up by Vitinho.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Agustín Giay scored twice.

The referee, A. Daronco, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Palmeiras and 4 to Corinthians. Paulinho missed a penalty for Palmeiras in the 81 minute.

Palmeiras: A. Moreira Ferreira, 3-4-2-1 · Corinthians: W. Batista de Almeida, 4-1-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.99 for Palmeiras and 2.53 for Corinthians.

Palmeiras scored about 3.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Corinthians left about 1.5 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Corinthians created the better chances, 2.53 xG to 0.99, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Palmeiras had 8 shots on target, Corinthians 3.

Corinthians's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Palmeiras had 55% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Palmeiras came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and 1.04 against, and had won 63% of their matches.

Corinthians came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and 1.24 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Palmeiras vs Corinthians: the match in numbers

PalmeirasMatch statisticsCorinthians
55%Ball possession45%
0.99Expected goals (xG)2.53
22Total shots12
8Shots on target3
3Big chances0
457Total passes374
87%Pass accuracy84%
7Corners3
17Fouls11
2Offsides1
13Tackles9
2Saves5
3Yellow cards4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Agustín Giay (Palmeiras), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Palmeiras

Corinthians

The lowest-rated starter was Gabriel Paulista at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Palmeiras vs Corinthians

What was the score in Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Palmeiras 4-1 Corinthians (half-time 2-0), Brasileirão, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Alexander Barboza 16', Agustín Giay 45+1', Agustín Giay 51', Gustavo Henrique 90+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Palmeiras vs Corinthians correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Agustín Giay, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

A. Daronco.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.