Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Palmeiras 2-0 São Paulo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Palmeiras 2-0 São Paulo

Palmeiras won 2-0 at home to São Paulo in Brasileirão Matchday 27 on Saturday 12 September 2026. The goals: Murilo 45+1', Vitor Roque 50'.

How Palmeiras won it

Murilo put Palmeiras ahead in the 45th minute (+1). Vitor Roque made it 2-0 to Palmeiras in the 50th minute, set up by Khellven .

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Luis Osorio of São Paulo was sent off in the 39th minute. The referee, R. Klein, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Palmeiras and 1 to São Paulo.

Palmeiras: A. Moreira Ferreira, 3-4-2-1 · São Paulo: D. Silvestre Júnior, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.08 for Palmeiras and 2.43 for São Paulo.

São Paulo left about 2.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

São Paulo created the better chances, 2.43 xG to 1.08, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Palmeiras had 7 shots on target, São Paulo 2.

São Paulo's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Palmeiras had 57% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Palmeiras came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and 1.04 against, and had won 63% of their matches.

São Paulo came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.48 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 38% of their matches.

Palmeiras vs São Paulo: the match in numbers

PalmeirasMatch statisticsSão Paulo
57%Ball possession43%
1.08Expected goals (xG)2.43
19Total shots8
7Shots on target2
5Big chances2
527Total passes405
87%Pass accuracy84%
9Corners6
21Fouls12
3Offsides0
11Tackles21
2Saves5
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ferreirinha (São Paulo), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Palmeiras

São Paulo

The lowest-rated starter was Luis Osorio at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Palmeiras vs São Paulo

What was the score in Palmeiras vs São Paulo?

Palmeiras 2-0 São Paulo (half-time 1-0), Brasileirão, Saturday 12 September 2026.

Who scored in Palmeiras vs São Paulo?

Murilo 45+1', Vitor Roque 50'.

Did Moneyball predict Palmeiras vs São Paulo correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Palmeiras vs São Paulo?

Ferreirinha, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Palmeiras vs São Paulo?

R. Klein.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.