Persita vs Persib Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11
Liga 1 Indonesia · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Stadion Singa Perbangsa, Karawang · updated 2026-11-15
Persita welcome Persib to Stadion Singa Perbangsa in Karawang in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Persita have played 8 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 75% win rate. Persib have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 56% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Persita are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 24% and Persib at 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Persita 1.76, Persib 1.48.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 65%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Persita: form and key numbers
In style Persita are happy without the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Shots: 8.1 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 43.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 88% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.59.
Persib: form and key numbers
In style Persib keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 54.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Persita vs Persib: season averages side by side
| Persita | Per match this season | Persib |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 8.1 | Shots | 12.7 |
| 3.5 | On target | 5.3 |
| 43.4 | Possession % | 54.9 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 88% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 6.3 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 6.59 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Players to watch
Persita
- Igor Rodrigues GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 11 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 7% of his position)
- Tyronne Gustavo del Pino Ramos AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 10 · Secure passer, Chance creator (top 48% of his position)
Persib
- Fitrah Maulana Muhammad Ridwan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 13 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 10% of his position)
- Gabriel Mutombo CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 12 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 17% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Aep Nursofyan
Aep Nursofyan, 20 · Persita · RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 10
Aep Nursofyan, 20, plays as a full-back for Persita in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 10
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 10
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 35% |
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 30% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.58 / 90 | 5% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.38 / 90 | 3% |
| Tackles | 0.58 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- What Aep Nursofyan is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Aep Nursofyan's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Persita vs Persib prediction
Persib should have more of the ball, with Persita likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.76 for Persita and 1.48 for Persib - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 65%. Persita have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Persita 2-1 Persib
Persita vs Persib: what the numbers say
- 1. Persita unbeaten (win or draw) 68% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 63% by the model, 3.25 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026
- Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026
- Dewa United vs Persita Friday 20 November 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026
- Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta Saturday 21 November 2026
- Bhayangkara vs Persijap Saturday 21 November 2026
- PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026
- Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026
Persita vs Persib: questions and answers
When is Persita vs Persib?
Persita vs Persib is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11.
Where is Persita vs Persib played?
At Stadion Singa Perbangsa, Karawang, Persita's home ground.
Who will win Persita vs Persib?
Persita are the favourites: Persita 44%, draw 24%, Persib 32%. Our prediction is Persita 2-1 Persib.
Who is the player to watch in Persita vs Persib?
Aep Nursofyan of Persita: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 10 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Persita vs Persib?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.