PSM vs Dewa United Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11
Liga 1 Indonesia · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 08:30 UTC · Stadion Andi Mattalatta, Makassar · updated 2026-11-14
PSM welcome Dewa United to Stadion Andi Mattalatta in Makassar in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC.
PSM have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Dewa United have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Dewa United are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 26% and PSM at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: PSM 1.26, Dewa United 1.61.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
PSM: form and key numbers
In style PSM are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Shots: 9.4 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 44.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.44.
Dewa United: form and key numbers
In style Dewa United keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 54.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
PSM vs Dewa United: season averages side by side
| PSM | Per match this season | Dewa United |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 9.4 | Shots | 14.4 |
| 3.2 | On target | 4.8 |
| 44.7 | Possession % | 54.6 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 7.1 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.44 | Average rating | 6.62 |
Players to watch
PSM
- Hilman Syah GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 18% of his position)
- Muhammad Ardiansyah GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 18% of his position)
Dewa United
- Sonny Stevens GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 6% of his position)
- Altariq Ballah LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 4 · Hard to dribble past, Crosser (top 43% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Myeong-seok Ko
Myeong-seok Ko, 31 · Dewa United · CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 4
Myeong-seok Ko, 31, plays as a centre-back for Dewa United in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in long balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 4
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 74% |
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 62% |
| Fouls committed | 0.22 / 90 | 22% |
| Interceptions | 2.56 / 90 | 3% |
| Aerial duels won | 1.67 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
- ★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- What Myeong-seok Ko is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Myeong-seok Ko's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
PSM vs Dewa United prediction
Dewa United should have more of the ball, with PSM likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.26 for PSM and 1.61 for Dewa United - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 58%. Dewa United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: PSM 1-2 Dewa United
PSM vs Dewa United: what the numbers say
- 1. Dewa United unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.88 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (55%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 9.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 12.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026
- Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026
- Dewa United vs Persita Friday 20 November 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026
- Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta Saturday 21 November 2026
- Bhayangkara vs Persijap Saturday 21 November 2026
- PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026
- Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026
PSM vs Dewa United: questions and answers
When is PSM vs Dewa United?
PSM vs Dewa United is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 08:30 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 11.
Where is PSM vs Dewa United played?
At Stadion Andi Mattalatta, Makassar, PSM's home ground.
Who will win PSM vs Dewa United?
Dewa United are the favourites: PSM 29%, draw 26%, Dewa United 45%. Our prediction is PSM 1-2 Dewa United.
Who is the player to watch in PSM vs Dewa United?
Myeong-seok Ko of Dewa United: a ball-playing centre-back with a Moneyball Score of 4 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in PSM vs Dewa United?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.