Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Prediction and Stats | La Liga Gameweek 13
La Liga · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander · updated 2026-11-13
Racing Santander welcome Real Sociedad to Campos de Sport de El Sardinero in Santander in La Liga Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UTC.
Racing Santander have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 75% win rate. Real Sociedad have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 58% of them. Away from home they average 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 43% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Real Sociedad are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 22% and Racing Santander at 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Racing Santander 1.76, Real Sociedad 2.03.
- Over 2.5 goals: 73% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (6%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Racing Santander: form and key numbers
In style Racing Santander take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.38 a match created, 2.18 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Real Sociedad: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.35 a match created, 1.73 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.8).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: season averages side by side
| Racing Santander | Per match this season | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.5 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.38 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.35 |
| 2.18 | xG conceded | 1.73 |
| 12.9 | Shots | 14.7 |
| 4.8 | On target | 5.0 |
| 50.0 | Possession % | 51.2 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.8 | Corners | 6.7 |
| 2.6 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.83 |
Players to watch
Racing Santander
- Andrés Martín RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 65 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 2% of his position)
- Yassir Zabiri CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 61 · Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring, Gets into scoring positions (top 13% of his position)
Real Sociedad
- Jon Martín Vicente CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 71 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 6% of his position)
- Jon Gorrotxategi DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 70 · Reads the game, Blocks shots (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Orri Óskarsson
Orri Óskarsson, 22 · Real Sociedad · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 70
Orri Óskarsson, 22, plays as a centre-forward for Real Sociedad in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 70
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.69 / 90 | 94% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 92% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.67 / 90 | 92% |
| Shots | 3.63 / 90 | 82% |
| Aerial duels won | 1.97 / 90 | 76% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring.
- What Orri Óskarsson is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Orri Óskarsson's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad prediction
Real Sociedad should have more of the ball; Racing Santander like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 1.76 for Racing Santander and 2.03 for Real Sociedad - with over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 72%. Real Sociedad have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Racing Santander 1-3 Real Sociedad
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: what the numbers say
- 1. Real Sociedad unbeaten (win or draw) 66% between them
- 2. 4 or more goals 52% by the model, 3.79 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 8.7 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More La Liga previews
- Athletic Club vs Espanyol Friday 20 November 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sevilla vs Real Betis Saturday 21 November 2026
- Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Villarreal Sunday 22 November 2026
- Osasuna vs Málaga Sunday 22 November 2026
- Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid Sunday 22 November 2026
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: questions and answers
When is Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?
Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 13.
Where is Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad played?
At Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander, Racing Santander's home ground.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad are the favourites: Racing Santander 34%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad 44%. Our prediction is Racing Santander 1-3 Real Sociedad.
Who is the player to watch in Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?
Orri Óskarsson of Real Sociedad: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.