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Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 8

Real Sociedad welcome RC Deportivo A Coruna to Anoeta Stadium in San Sebastián in La Liga Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 11 October 2026.

Real Sociedad have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 43% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate. RC Deportivo A Coruna have played 7 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.

On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Real Sociedad are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 28% and RC Deportivo A Coruna at 25%.

The odds

Real Sociedad1.9247%
Draw3.2728%
RC Deportivo A Coruna3.6425%

Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Real Sociedad -0.5 at 1.93, RC Deportivo A Coruna at 1.98. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.93, under 1.95, which gives over 50%.

Real Sociedad: form and key numbers

In style Real Sociedad play long and direct.

RC Deportivo A Coruna: form and key numbers

In style RC Deportivo A Coruna play long and direct.

Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna: season averages side by side

Real SociedadPer matchRC Deportivo A Coruna
1.19Expected goals (xG)1.15
1.72xG conceded1.22
1.29Goals1.43
13.6Shots10.1
5.1Shots on target3.9
1.4Big chances missed0.9
46.2Pressure share %42.3
17.7Tackles17.4
12.4Fouls12.4
2.1Yellow cards1.7

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 7 measured matches.

Players to watch

Real Sociedad

RC Deportivo A Coruna

Scouting spotlight: Luismi Cruz

Luismi Cruz, 25 · Deportivo A Coruña · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 60

Luismi Cruz, 25, plays as a winger for Deportivo A Coruña in La Liga. Strongest for his role in key passes and accurate crosses. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Successful dribbles 44Expected goals 72Expected assists 75Key passes 93Shots 10Accurate crosses 79Big chances created 34Fouls won 71Dispossessed 67

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 65
  • LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 61
  • RW · Winger Natural, 60

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Key passes3.16 / 9093%
Accurate crosses1.35 / 9079%
Expected assists (est.)0.28 / 9075%
Expected goals0.28 / 9072%
Fouls won1.80 / 9071%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
  • ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
  • ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker

Scout's notes: Chance creator.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Luismi Cruz is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Luismi Cruz's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna prediction

Real Sociedad should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.27 for Real Sociedad and 1.39 for RC Deportivo A Coruna - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%. Real Sociedad have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: Real Sociedad 1-0 RC Deportivo A Coruna

The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre

Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna betting tips

  1. Tip 1: Real Sociedad win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
  2. Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.66 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
  3. Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.8 cards a match between them
  4. Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 12.2 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

Open Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna in the Match Centre Follow it live

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Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna: questions and answers

When is Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna?

Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna is on Sunday 11 October 2026, in La Liga Gameweek 8.

Where is Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna played?

At Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastián, Real Sociedad's home ground.

Who will win Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna?

Real Sociedad are the favourites: Real Sociedad 47%, draw 28%, RC Deportivo A Coruna 25%. Our prediction is Real Sociedad 1-0 RC Deportivo A Coruna.

Who is the player to watch in Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna?

Luismi Cruz of Deportivo A Coruña: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna?

Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.