Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona Prediction and Stats | La Liga Gameweek 14
La Liga · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña · updated 2026-11-15
Deportivo A Coruña welcome FC Barcelona to Estadio Municipal de Riazor in La Coruña in La Liga Gameweek 14 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UTC.
Deportivo A Coruña have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. FC Barcelona have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 4.0 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 92% of them. Away from home they average 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 55% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, FC Barcelona are clear favourites at 63%, with the draw at 20% and Deportivo A Coruña at 17%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Deportivo A Coruña 1.15, FC Barcelona 2.33.
- Over 2.5 goals: 68% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Deportivo A Coruña: form and key numbers
In style Deportivo A Coruña play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.34 a match created, 1.19 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.1).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 8% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
FC Barcelona: form and key numbers
In style FC Barcelona keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.97 a match created, 0.97 conceded (goals minus xG: +12.4).
- Shots: 20.1 a match, 7.8 on target.
- Possession: 69.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.17.
Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona: season averages side by side
| Deportivo A Coruña | Per match this season | FC Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 4.0 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.34 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.97 |
| 1.19 | xG conceded | 0.97 |
| 11.9 | Shots | 20.1 |
| 4.3 | On target | 7.8 |
| 47.9 | Possession % | 69.4 |
| 8% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 6.4 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 7.17 |
Players to watch
Deportivo A Coruña
- Lorenzo Amatucci DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 61 · Blocks shots, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
- Luismi Cruz RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 56 · Chance creator, Crosser (top 7% of his position)
FC Barcelona
- Fermín López AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 74 · Big-chance creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 4% of his position)
- Raphinha CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 74 · Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring, Takes high-quality shots (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal, 19 · FC Barcelona · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 91
Lamine Yamal, 19, plays as a winger for FC Barcelona in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and shots. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 91
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 87
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 83
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.62 / 90 | 100% |
| Shots | 5.79 / 90 | 100% |
| Big chances created | 1.36 / 90 | 100% |
| Expected goals | 0.68 / 90 | 99% |
| Key passes | 3.80 / 90 | 99% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, High shot volume, Big-chance creator.
- What Lamine Yamal is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lamine Yamal's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona prediction
FC Barcelona should have more of the ball, with Deportivo A Coruña likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.15 for Deportivo A Coruña and 2.33 for FC Barcelona - with over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 62%. FC Barcelona have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Deportivo A Coruña 1-2 FC Barcelona
Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona: what the numbers say
- 1. FC Barcelona win, the likeliest result 63% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 68% by the model, 3.48 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More La Liga previews
- Athletic Club vs Espanyol Friday 20 November 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sevilla vs Real Betis Saturday 21 November 2026
- Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Villarreal Sunday 22 November 2026
- Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Sunday 22 November 2026
- Osasuna vs Málaga Sunday 22 November 2026
Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona: questions and answers
When is Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona?
Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 14.
Where is Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona played?
At Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña, Deportivo A Coruña's home ground.
Who will win Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona?
FC Barcelona are the favourites: Deportivo A Coruña 17%, draw 20%, FC Barcelona 63%. Our prediction is Deportivo A Coruña 1-2 FC Barcelona.
Who is the player to watch in Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona?
Lamine Yamal of FC Barcelona: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 91 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo A Coruña vs FC Barcelona?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.