São Paulo 2-1 Vitória: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 30 · Sunday 11 October 2026 · Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo · referee Lucas Casagrande · full time
Full time: São Paulo 2-1 Vitória
São Paulo won 2-1 at home to Vitória in Brasileirão Matchday 30 on Sunday 11 October 2026. The goals: Jonathan Calleri 20', Emmanuel Martínez 39', Jonathan Calleri 70'.
How São Paulo won it
São Paulo struck first through Jonathan Calleri in the 20th minute, set up by Iago. Vitória levelled at 1-1 in the 39th minute through Emmanuel Martínez, set up by Erick. Jonathan Calleri made it 2-1 to São Paulo in the 70th minute.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Jonathan Calleri scored twice.
The referee, Lucas Casagrande, showed 8 yellow cards: 5 to São Paulo and 3 to Vitória.
São Paulo: D. Silvestre Júnior, 3-4-2-1 · Vitória: J. Ribeiro Ventura, 4-1-4-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.11 for São Paulo and 2.14 for Vitória.
Vitória left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Vitória created the better chances, 2.14 xG to 1.11, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
São Paulo had 6 shots on target, Vitória 2.
São Paulo had 54% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
São Paulo came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.48 expected goals for and 1.36 against, and had won 38% of their matches.
Vitória came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.03 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 31% of their matches.
São Paulo vs Vitória: the match in numbers
| São Paulo | Match statistics | Vitória |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Ball possession | 46% |
| 1.11 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.14 |
| 21 | Total shots | 12 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 4 | Big chances | 2 |
| 475 | Total passes | 410 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 19 | Tackles | 18 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
São Paulo
- Jonathan Calleri 8.8 2 goals
- Artur 7.2
- Robert Arboleda 7.2
- Damián Bobadilla 7.2
- Sabino 7.1
Vitória
- Emmanuel Martínez 7.3 1 goal
- Luan Cândido 7.2
- Caíque Gonçalves 7.0
- Renato Kayzer 6.9
- Erick 6.8 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Jamerson at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- São Paulo: Bahia vs São Paulo Thursday 29 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Vitória: Coritiba vs Vitória Saturday 31 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about São Paulo vs Vitória
What was the score in São Paulo vs Vitória?
São Paulo 2-1 Vitória (half-time 1-1), Brasileirão, Sunday 11 October 2026.
Who scored in São Paulo vs Vitória?
Jonathan Calleri 20', Emmanuel Martínez 39', Jonathan Calleri 70'.
Did Moneyball predict São Paulo vs Vitória correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in São Paulo vs Vitória?
Jonathan Calleri, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed São Paulo vs Vitória?
Lucas Casagrande.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
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