Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2-1 in La Liga Matchday 1 on Saturday 15 August 2026 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. The goals: Álvaro García 4', Jon Guridi 52', Peque Fernández 90+7'.

How Sevilla won it

Álvaro García put Rayo Vallecano ahead in the 4th minute. Sevilla levelled at 1-1 in the 52nd minute through Jon Guridi from the penalty spot. Sevilla turned it round: Peque Fernández from the penalty spot made it 2-1 in the 90th minute (+7). A late goal, and the one that decided the result.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

Kike Salas of Sevilla was sent off in the 88th minute. The referee, R. De Burgos Bengoetxea, showed 8 yellow cards: 4 to Sevilla and 4 to Rayo Vallecano.

Sevilla: L. García Plaza, 4-2-3-1 · Rayo Vallecano: B. San José Gil, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.65 for Sevilla and 2.38 for Rayo Vallecano.

Rayo Vallecano left about 1.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Sevilla had 4 shots on target, Rayo Vallecano 3.

Rayo Vallecano had 51% of the ball, but Sevilla took the points.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sevilla came into it with 7 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.06 expected goals for and 1.43 against, and had won 57% of their matches.

Rayo Vallecano came into it with 7 La Liga matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.90 against, and had won 29% of their matches.

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano: the match in numbers

SevillaMatch statisticsRayo Vallecano
49%Ball possession51%
1.65Expected goals (xG)2.38
13Total shots6
4Shots on target3
2Big chances3
319Total passes335
72%Pass accuracy73%
1Corners2
18Fouls18
1Offsides1
20Tackles17
2Saves2
4Yellow cards4
1Red cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega (Sevilla), rated 7.1 by Sportmonks.

Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano

The lowest-rated starter was Iván Balliu at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

What was the score in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano (half-time 0-1), La Liga, Saturday 15 August 2026.

Who scored in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Álvaro García 4', Jon Guridi 52', Peque Fernández 90+7'.

Did Moneyball predict Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega, rated 7.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

R. De Burgos Bengoetxea.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.