Southampton 3-1 Stoke City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Southampton won it

The opening goal came in the 8th minute: Cyle Larin for Southampton, set up by Flynn Downes. Stoke City levelled at 1-1 in the 26th minute through Ethan Galbraith, set up by Sam Gallagher. Divin Mubama made it 2-1 to Southampton in the 89th minute, set up by Finn Azaz . Ryan Manning  from the penalty spot made it 3-1 to Southampton in the 90th minute (+4).

It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Svante Ingelsson of Stoke City was sent off in the 90th minute (+3) for a second yellow card. The referee, S. Martin, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Southampton and 4 to Stoke City.

Southampton: T. Eckert, 4-2-3-1 · Stoke City: M. Robins, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.13 for Southampton and 2.43 for Stoke City.

Southampton scored about 1.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Stoke City left about 1.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Stoke City created the better chances, 2.43 xG to 1.13, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Southampton had 5 shots on target, Stoke City 2.

Southampton had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Southampton came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.51 against, and had won 58% of their matches.

Stoke City came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.97 expected goals for and 1.57 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Southampton vs Stoke City: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Finn Azaz (Southampton), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Southampton

• Finn Azaz 7.6
• Cyle Larin 7.5 1 goal
• Ryan Manning 7.3
• Divin Mubama 7.3 1 goal
• Flynn Downes 7.3 1 assist

Stoke City

• Jun-ho Bae 7.3
• Sam Gallagher 7.2 1 assist
• Ethan Galbraith 6.8 1 goal
• Eric-Junior Bocat 6.8
• Ben Wilmot 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Viktor Johansson at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Southampton: Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 31 October 2026 · Championship
• Stoke City: Stoke City vs Preston North End Saturday 31 October 2026 · Championship

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Southampton vs Stoke City

What was the score in Southampton vs Stoke City?

Southampton 3-1 Stoke City (half-time 1-1), Championship, Saturday 22 August 2026.

Who scored in Southampton vs Stoke City?

Cyle Larin 8', Ethan Galbraith 26', Divin Mubama 89', Ryan Manning  90+4'.

Did Moneyball predict Southampton vs Stoke City correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Southampton vs Stoke City?

Finn Azaz, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Southampton vs Stoke City?

S. Martin.