Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Toronto 3-3 Orlando City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Toronto 3-3 Orlando City

Toronto and Orlando City drew 3-3 in MLS on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at Toronto Stadium. The goals: Lewis Morgan 26', Martín Ojeda 45+1', Theo Corbeanu 49', Antoine Griezmann 76', Daryl Enyinnaya Dike 83', Matheus Pereira 89'.

How the match unfolded

Lewis Morgan put Toronto ahead in the 26th minute, set up by Theo Corbeanu. Orlando City levelled at 1-1 in the 45th minute (+1) through Martín Ojeda from the penalty spot. Theo Corbeanu made it 2-1 to Toronto in the 49th minute, set up by Dániel Sallói. Orlando City levelled at 2-2 in the 76th minute through Antoine Griezmann, set up by Iago Teodoro. Orlando City turned it round: Daryl Enyinnaya Dike made it 2-3 in the 83rd minute, set up by Iván Angulo. Toronto levelled at 3-3 in the 89th minute through Matheus Pereira. A late equaliser, and a point saved.

It was 1-1 at half-time.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, A. Villarreal, showed 5 yellow cards: 4 to Toronto and 1 to Orlando City.

Toronto: R. Fraser, 4-4-2 · Orlando City: M. Perelman, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.29 for Toronto and 1.86 for Orlando City.

Orlando City made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.1 goals.

Toronto had 7 shots on target, Orlando City 4.

Orlando City had 62% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Toronto came into it with 31 MLS matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.29 expected goals for and 1.85 against, and had won 26% of their matches.

Orlando City came into it with 31 MLS matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.96 against, and had won 39% of their matches.

Toronto vs Orlando City: the match in numbers

TorontoMatch statisticsOrlando City
38%Ball possession62%
2.29Expected goals (xG)1.86
16Total shots14
7Shots on target4
5Big chances4
282Total passes490
77%Pass accuracy87%
4Corners5
17Fouls12
3Offsides1
13Tackles9
1Saves4
3Yellow cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Antoine Griezmann (Orlando City), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Toronto

Orlando City

The lowest-rated starter was Luka Gavran at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Toronto vs Orlando City

What was the score in Toronto vs Orlando City?

Toronto 3-3 Orlando City (half-time 1-1), MLS, Wednesday 14 October 2026.

Who scored in Toronto vs Orlando City?

Lewis Morgan 26', Martín Ojeda 45+1', Theo Corbeanu 49', Antoine Griezmann 76', Daryl Enyinnaya Dike 83', Matheus Pereira 89'.

Did Moneyball predict Toronto vs Orlando City correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Toronto vs Orlando City?

Antoine Griezmann, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Toronto vs Orlando City?

A. Villarreal.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.