Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Toulouse 0-1 LOSC Lille: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Toulouse 0-1 LOSC Lille

Toulouse 0-1 LOSC Lille: LOSC Lille took the points in Ligue 1 Matchday 3 on Thursday 3 September 2026 at Stadium de Toulouse. The goals: Ayase Ueda 73'.

How LOSC Lille won it

The opening goal came in the 73rd minute: Ayase Ueda for LOSC Lille.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, M. Vernice, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Toulouse and 0 to LOSC Lille.

Toulouse: J. Askou, 4-2-3-1 · LOSC Lille: Davide Ancelotti, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.31 for Toulouse and 2.96 for LOSC Lille.

Toulouse scored about 1.3 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

LOSC Lille left about 2.0 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Toulouse had 10 shots on target, LOSC Lille 6.

LOSC Lille's goalkeeper made 9 saves.

Toulouse had 54% of the ball, but LOSC Lille took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Toulouse came into it with 5 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 a match, with 1.90 expected goals for and 1.86 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

LOSC Lille came into it with 5 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.26 expected goals for and 1.69 against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Toulouse vs LOSC Lille: the match in numbers

ToulouseMatch statisticsLOSC Lille
54%Ball possession46%
1.31Expected goals (xG)2.96
24Total shots10
10Shots on target6
5Big chances1
516Total passes462
87%Pass accuracy85%
6Corners2
16Fouls9
3Offsides0
12Tackles18
5Saves9
1Yellow cards0

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Berke Özer (LOSC Lille), rated 9.3 by Sportmonks.

Toulouse

LOSC Lille

The lowest-rated starter was Calvin Verdonk at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Toulouse vs LOSC Lille

What was the score in Toulouse vs LOSC Lille?

Toulouse 0-1 LOSC Lille (half-time 0-0), Ligue 1, Thursday 3 September 2026.

Who scored in Toulouse vs LOSC Lille?

Ayase Ueda 73'.

Did Moneyball predict Toulouse vs LOSC Lille correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Toulouse vs LOSC Lille?

Berke Özer, rated 9.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Toulouse vs LOSC Lille?

M. Vernice.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.