Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund won 3-2 away at TSG Hoffenheim in Bundesliga Matchday 2 on Saturday 5 September 2026. The goals: Leon Avdullahu 45', Tim Lemperle 54', Serhou Guirassy 61', Fábio Silva 66'.

How Borussia Dortmund won it

Leon Avdullahu put TSG Hoffenheim ahead in the 45th minute, set up by Vladimír Coufal. Tim Lemperle made it 2-0 to TSG Hoffenheim in the 54th minute, set up by Adam Daghim. Serhou Guirassy made it 2-1 to Borussia Dortmund in the 61st minute, set up by Waldemar Anton. Borussia Dortmund levelled at 2-2 in the 66th minute through Fábio Silva, set up by Serhou Guirassy. Borussia Dortmund turned it round: an own goal by Albian Hajdari made it 2-3 in the 86th minute. A late goal, and the one that decided the result.

TSG Hoffenheim were two goals up and lost: Borussia Dortmund came back from two down to win it.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, M. Jöllenbeck, showed 6 yellow cards: 4 to TSG Hoffenheim and 2 to Borussia Dortmund.

TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 4-4-2 · Borussia Dortmund: N. Kovač, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.95 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.53 for Borussia Dortmund.

Borussia Dortmund made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.5 goals.

TSG Hoffenheim had 6 shots on target, Borussia Dortmund 4.

TSG Hoffenheim had 60% of the ball, but Borussia Dortmund took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 4 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 1.83 expected goals for and 1.66 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Borussia Dortmund came into it with 5 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.79 expected goals for and 0.90 against, and had won 80% of their matches.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: the match in numbers

TSG HoffenheimMatch statisticsBorussia Dortmund
60%Ball possession40%
1.95Expected goals (xG)1.53
18Total shots11
6Shots on target4
4Big chances4
498Total passes335
80%Pass accuracy76%
10Corners3
13Fouls7
1Offsides2
19Tackles15
2Saves4
4Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund), rated 8.0 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

TSG Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund

The lowest-rated starter was Albian Hajdari at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund

What was the score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

TSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund (half-time 1-0), Bundesliga, Saturday 5 September 2026.

Who scored in TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Leon Avdullahu 45', Tim Lemperle 54', Serhou Guirassy 61', Fábio Silva 66'.

Did Moneyball predict TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

Serhou Guirassy, rated 8.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?

M. Jöllenbeck.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.