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Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto

Vélez Sarsfield won 1-0 at home to Instituto in Liga Profesional Argentina Matchday 1 on Friday 24 July 2026. The goals: Manuel Lanzini 45+1'.

How Vélez Sarsfield won it

Manuel Lanzini put Vélez Sarsfield ahead in the 45th minute (+1), set up by Tobías Andrada.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, A. Merlos, showed 4 yellow cards: 2 to Vélez Sarsfield and 2 to Instituto.

Vélez Sarsfield: G. Barros Schelotto, 4-2-3-1 · Instituto: D. Flores, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.56 for Vélez Sarsfield and 0.61 for Instituto.

Vélez Sarsfield scored about 1.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Vélez Sarsfield had 5 shots on target, Instituto 2.

Vélez Sarsfield had 58% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Vélez Sarsfield came into it with 30 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.14 expected goals for and 1.34 against, and had won 43% of their matches.

Instituto came into it with 29 Liga Profesional Argentina matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 0.80 against, and had won 52% of their matches.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Instituto: the match in numbers

Vélez SarsfieldMatch statisticsInstituto
58%Ball possession42%
2.56Expected goals (xG)0.61
8Total shots19
5Shots on target2
2Big chances4
533Total passes358
81%Pass accuracy72%
1Corners6
7Fouls9
1Offsides1
22Tackles13
2Saves4
2Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Manuel Lanzini (Vélez Sarsfield), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Vélez Sarsfield

Instituto

The lowest-rated starter was Matías Tissera at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Vélez Sarsfield vs Instituto

What was the score in Vélez Sarsfield vs Instituto?

Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto (half-time 1-0), Liga Profesional Argentina, Friday 24 July 2026.

Who scored in Vélez Sarsfield vs Instituto?

Manuel Lanzini 45+1'.

Did Moneyball predict Vélez Sarsfield vs Instituto correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Vélez Sarsfield vs Instituto?

Manuel Lanzini, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Vélez Sarsfield vs Instituto?

A. Merlos.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.