Villarreal vs Getafe Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 12
La Liga · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal · updated 2026-10-25
Villarreal welcome Getafe to Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal in La Liga Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Villarreal have played 10 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 30% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate. Getafe have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Villarreal are narrow favourites at 59%, with the draw at 25% and Getafe at 16%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Villarreal 1.74, Getafe 0.78.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 45%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Villarreal: form and key numbers
In style Villarreal keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.04 a match created, 1.21 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.4).
- Shots: 16.6 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 60.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 10% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Getafe: form and key numbers
In style Getafe are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.86 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.7).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 2.7 on target.
- Possession: 36.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 3.7 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
Villarreal vs Getafe: season averages side by side
| Villarreal | Per match this season | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 0.6 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 2.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.86 |
| 1.21 | xG conceded | 1.52 |
| 16.6 | Shots | 10.9 |
| 6.0 | On target | 2.7 |
| 60.6 | Possession % | 36.7 |
| 10% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 70% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 7.3 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 3.7 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.66 |
Players to watch
Villarreal
- Alex Freeman RB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 70 · Ball circulator, Dribbler (top 1% of his position)
- Juan Foyth CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 65 · Blocks shots, Ball circulator (top 11% of his position)
Getafe
- David Soria GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Long passer, Shot-stopper (top 1% of his position)
- Zaid Romero CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alberto Moleiro
Alberto Moleiro, 23 · Villarreal · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 74
Alberto Moleiro, 23, plays as a winger for Villarreal in La Liga. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 74
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 70
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Competent, 44
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.54 / 90 | 98% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.40 / 90 | 97% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.62 / 90 | 96% |
| Big chances created | 0.59 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected goals | 0.39 / 90 | 88% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Crosser.
- What Alberto Moleiro is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alberto Moleiro's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Villarreal vs Getafe prediction
Villarreal should have more of the ball, with Getafe likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Villarreal like to take players on; Getafe go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.74 for Villarreal and 0.78 for Getafe - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 45%. Villarreal have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Villarreal 2-1 Getafe
Villarreal vs Getafe betting tips
- Tip 1: Villarreal to win 59% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 54% by the model, 2.52 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 10.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 11.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Real Sociedad vs Levante Sunday 25 October 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sevilla vs Osasuna Monday 26 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Espanyol Friday 30 October 2026
- Levante vs Atlético de Madrid Saturday 31 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 31 October 2026
- Real Betis vs Málaga Saturday 31 October 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés Saturday 31 October 2026
Villarreal vs Getafe: questions and answers
When is Villarreal vs Getafe?
Villarreal vs Getafe is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 12.
Where is Villarreal vs Getafe played?
At Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, Villarreal's home ground.
Who will win Villarreal vs Getafe?
Villarreal are the favourites: Villarreal 59%, draw 25%, Getafe 16%. Our prediction is Villarreal 2-1 Getafe.
Who is the player to watch in Villarreal vs Getafe?
Alberto Moleiro of Villarreal: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Getafe?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.