Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Vitória 0-2 Bahia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Vitória 0-2 Bahia

Vitória 0-2 Bahia: Bahia took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 24 on Sunday 23 August 2026 at Estádio Manoel Barradas. The goals: Alejo Veliz 67', Jean Lucas 90+7'.

How Bahia won it

Bahia struck first through Alejo Veliz in the 67th minute, set up by Erick Pulga. Jean Lucas made it 0-2 to Bahia in the 90th minute (+7), set up by Michel Araújo.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, R. Claus, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to Vitória and 3 to Bahia.

Vitória: J. Ribeiro Ventura, 4-2-3-1 · Bahia: R. Mücke Ceni, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 3.39 for Vitória and 0.67 for Bahia.

Vitória scored about 3.4 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.

Bahia made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.3 goals.

Vitória created the better chances, 3.39 xG to 0.67, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Vitória had 2 shots on target, Bahia 9.

Vitória's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Bahia had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Vitória came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.03 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 31% of their matches.

Bahia came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.47 against, and had won 41% of their matches.

Vitória vs Bahia: the match in numbers

VitóriaMatch statisticsBahia
47%Ball possession53%
3.39Expected goals (xG)0.67
14Total shots28
2Shots on target9
0Big chances7
301Total passes341
71%Pass accuracy82%
7Corners7
13Fouls10
1Offsides1
20Tackles20
6Saves2
4Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Luciano Juba (Bahia), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Vitória

Bahia

The lowest-rated starter was Erick at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Vitória vs Bahia

What was the score in Vitória vs Bahia?

Vitória 0-2 Bahia (half-time 0-0), Brasileirão, Sunday 23 August 2026.

Who scored in Vitória vs Bahia?

Alejo Veliz 67', Jean Lucas 90+7'.

Did Moneyball predict Vitória vs Bahia correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Vitória vs Bahia?

Luciano Juba, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Vitória vs Bahia?

R. Claus.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.