Vitória 1-0 Botafogo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 23 · Sunday 16 August 2026 · Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador · referee P. Zanovelli · full time
Full time: Vitória 1-0 Botafogo
Vitória won 1-0 at home to Botafogo in Brasileirão Matchday 23 on Sunday 16 August 2026. The goals: Matheuzinho 27'.
How Vitória won it
Matheuzinho put Vitória ahead in the 27th minute from the penalty spot.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
Arthur Cabral of Botafogo was sent off in the 90th minute (+4). The referee, P. Zanovelli, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Vitória and 4 to Botafogo.
Vitória: J. Ribeiro Ventura, 4-2-3-1 · Botafogo: F. da Silva Maia Carvalho, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.07 for Vitória and 2.36 for Botafogo.
Botafogo left about 2.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Botafogo created the better chances, 2.36 xG to 1.07, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Vitória had 4 shots on target, Botafogo 3.
Botafogo had 54% of the ball, but Vitória took the points.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Vitória came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.03 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 31% of their matches.
Botafogo came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.25 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 31% of their matches.
Vitória vs Botafogo: the match in numbers
| Vitória | Match statistics | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Ball possession | 54% |
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.36 |
| 22 | Total shots | 17 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Big chances | 2 |
| 344 | Total passes | 401 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 21 | Tackles | 17 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Erick (Vitória), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Vitória
- Erick 8.3
- Zé Vitor 7.5
- Matheuzinho 7.5 1 goal
- Lucas Arcanjo 7.4
- Emanuel Brítez 7.3
Botafogo
- Nahuel Ferraresi 7.7
- Vitinho 7.6
- Alex Telles 7.4
- Arthur Cabral 7.1
- Cristian Medina 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Huguinho at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Vitória: Coritiba vs Vitória Saturday 31 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Botafogo: Remo vs Botafogo Thursday 29 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Vitória vs Botafogo
What was the score in Vitória vs Botafogo?
Vitória 1-0 Botafogo (half-time 1-0), Brasileirão, Sunday 16 August 2026.
Who scored in Vitória vs Botafogo?
Matheuzinho 27'.
Did Moneyball predict Vitória vs Botafogo correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Vitória vs Botafogo?
Erick, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Vitória vs Botafogo?
P. Zanovelli.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.