Vitória 0-4 Palmeiras: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Brasileirão Matchday 21 · Thursday 30 July 2026 · Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador · referee A. Gomes Stefano · full time
Full time: Vitória 0-4 Palmeiras
Vitória 0-4 Palmeiras: Palmeiras took the points in Brasileirão Matchday 21 on Thursday 30 July 2026 at Estádio Manoel Barradas. The goals: Mauricio 45+1', Jhon Arias 70', Ramón Sosa 84'.
How Palmeiras won it
The opening goal came in the 45th minute (+1): Mauricio for Palmeiras, set up by Jhon Arias. An own goal by Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva made it 0-2 to Palmeiras in the 45th minute (+6). Jhon Arias made it 0-3 to Palmeiras in the 70th minute, set up by Joaquín Piquerez. Ramón Sosa made it 0-4 to Palmeiras in the 84th minute.
It was 0-2 at half-time.
Cacá of Vitória was sent off in the 37th minute. Luan Cândido of Vitória was sent off in the 40th minute. The referee, A. Gomes Stefano, showed 5 yellow cards: 3 to Vitória and 2 to Palmeiras.
Vitória: J. Ribeiro Ventura, 5-4-1 · Palmeiras: A. Moreira Ferreira, 3-4-1-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.57 for Vitória and 0.52 for Palmeiras.
Vitória scored about 1.6 fewer than their chances were worth: poor finishing, or a goalkeeper at his best.
Palmeiras made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.5 goals.
Vitória created the better chances, 1.57 xG to 0.52, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
Vitória had 3 shots on target, Palmeiras 5.
Palmeiras had 68% of the ball and turned it into the win.
A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Vitória came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.03 expected goals for and 1.41 against, and had won 31% of their matches.
Palmeiras came into it with 32 Brasileirão matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.44 expected goals for and 1.04 against, and had won 63% of their matches.
Vitória vs Palmeiras: the match in numbers
| Vitória | Match statistics | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 32% | Ball possession | 68% |
| 1.57 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.52 |
| 10 | Total shots | 16 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 0 | Big chances | 3 |
| 229 | Total passes | 509 |
| 72% | Pass accuracy | 92% |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 18 | Tackles | 8 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Jhon Arias (Palmeiras), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Vitória
- Matheuzinho 7.0
- Baralhas 7.0
- Diego Tarzia 6.7
- Zé Vitor 6.7
- Renê 6.7
Palmeiras
- Jhon Arias 7.9 1 goal, 1 assist
- Andreas Pereira 7.5
- Ramón Sosa 7.5 1 goal
- Mauricio 7.5 1 goal
- Carlos Miguel 7.3
The lowest-rated starter was Luan Cândido at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Vitória: Coritiba vs Vitória Saturday 31 October 2026 · Brasileirão
- Palmeiras: Santos vs Palmeiras Wednesday 28 October 2026 · Brasileirão
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Vitória vs Palmeiras
What was the score in Vitória vs Palmeiras?
Vitória 0-4 Palmeiras (half-time 0-2), Brasileirão, Thursday 30 July 2026.
Who scored in Vitória vs Palmeiras?
Mauricio 45+1', Jhon Arias 70', Ramón Sosa 84'.
Did Moneyball predict Vitória vs Palmeiras correctly?
Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.
Who was man of the match in Vitória vs Palmeiras?
Jhon Arias, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Vitória vs Palmeiras?
A. Gomes Stefano.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.