Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Watford 2-1 Southampton: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Watford 2-1 Southampton

Watford won 2-1 at home to Southampton in Championship Matchday 1 on Sunday 16 August 2026. The goals: Iker Bravo 12', Amin Nabizada 29', Cyle Larin 56'.

How Watford won it

Iker Bravo put Watford ahead in the 12th minute. Amin Nabizada made it 2-0 to Watford in the 29th minute. Cyle Larin made it 2-1 to Southampton in the 56th minute, set up by Cameron Bragg.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

The referee, M. Donohue, showed 9 yellow cards: 6 to Watford and 3 to Southampton.

Watford: A. Dionisi, 4-2-3-1 · Southampton: T. Eckert, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.56 for Watford and 1.24 for Southampton.

Watford had 4 shots on target, Southampton 3.

Southampton had 66% of the ball, but Watford took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Watford came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and 1.89 against, and had won 25% of their matches.

Southampton came into it with 12 Championship matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.51 against, and had won 58% of their matches.

Watford vs Southampton: the match in numbers

WatfordMatch statisticsSouthampton
34%Ball possession66%
1.56Expected goals (xG)1.24
16Total shots17
4Shots on target3
1Big chances3
266Total passes514
78%Pass accuracy88%
4Corners8
12Fouls9
0Offsides3
17Tackles20
2Saves2
6Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ryan Manning (Southampton), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Watford

Southampton

The lowest-rated starter was Jack Stephens at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Watford vs Southampton

What was the score in Watford vs Southampton?

Watford 2-1 Southampton (half-time 2-0), Championship, Sunday 16 August 2026.

Who scored in Watford vs Southampton?

Iker Bravo 12', Amin Nabizada 29', Cyle Larin 56'.

Did Moneyball predict Watford vs Southampton correctly?

Moneyball did not publish a pre-match estimate for this match, so there is nothing to mark it against.

Who was man of the match in Watford vs Southampton?

Ryan Manning, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Watford vs Southampton?

M. Donohue.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball Odds writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Odds Match Live All match reports

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over.