Disclaimers

Last updated: 17 October 2026

1. Statistics and estimates, not advice

Moneyball Odds publishes football statistics and the estimates of its own models: probabilities, expected goals, fair prices, Moneyball Scores and Moneyball Value. They are estimates, made from data, and they can be wrong. Nothing on the website, in the app or in the Club Portal is betting, financial, investment, legal or professional advice, or a promise about any result. No model predicts football reliably.

2. Not a bookmaker

Moneyball Odds takes no bets, holds no money for anyone and does not act for any betting operator. Prices shown on the Match Board come from the market and are shown for comparison only. If you bet, you do so with an operator you choose, under its terms and the law where you live, and only if you are of legal age. Betting can cause harm; free, confidential help is available at BeGambleAware and Gambling Therapy.

3. Data can be late or wrong

Match data comes from Sportmonks and reaches the site seconds to minutes after the event. Scores, events, commentary and statistics can be delayed, corrected after the match (by VAR, for example) or occasionally wrong. Where a figure matters to you, check it with an official source.

4. Scouting figures

Moneyball Score, Moneyball Points, Moneyball Value, the fair maximum fee, Win-Rate Impact, Tactical Fit, Chemistry and the one-season wonder check are model estimates from match data. They are a starting point for a club's own scouting, medical, legal and financial checks, never a substitute for them, and not a valuation for any contract.

5. No affiliation

Moneyball Odds is independent. It is not affiliated with, sponsored or endorsed by any club, league, federation, player, Sportmonks, the Premier League, UEFA or Fantasy Premier League. Names, crests and trademarks belong to their owners and are used only to identify them. The Moneyball FPL League is a private mini-league run by Moneyball Odds inside Fantasy Premier League.

6. Other websites

Football News and other pages link to articles and websites run by others. Moneyball Odds does not control them and is not responsible for their content, accuracy or privacy practices.

7. Changes

The models, figures and features are improved over time, so an estimate can change from one day to the next. The Method page explains how they are made, and every match report marks the pre-match estimate against the result.

Questions: [email protected].