Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem Prediction and Betting Tips
Saudi Pro League · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Al Khaleej welcome Al Hazem to Prince Nayef bin Abdul Aziz Sports City Stadium in Al Qatif in Saudi Pro League action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
Al Khaleej have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Al Hazem have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Al Khaleej are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Al Hazem at 28%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (14.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Al Khaleej -0.25 at 1.74, Al Hazem at 1.93. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.83, under 1.83, which gives over 50%.
Al Khaleej: form and key numbers
In style Al Khaleej play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.93 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.2).
- Shots: 9.3 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem: season averages side by side
| Al Khaleej | Per match | Al Hazem |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 1.44 | xG conceded | – |
| 0.91 | Goals | – |
| 9.3 | Shots | – |
| 2.8 | Shots on target | – |
| 1.6 | Big chances missed | – |
| 39.3 | Pressure share % | – |
| 13.6 | Tackles | – |
| 10.6 | Fouls | – |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | – |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 11 and – measured matches.
Players to watch
Al Khaleej
- Marwan Al-Haidari GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 21 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 40% of his position)
- Joshua King CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 20 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 13% of his position)
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.17 for Al Khaleej and 1.35 for Al Hazem - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 52%. Al Khaleej have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al Khaleej 2-1 Al Hazem
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem betting tips
- Tip 1: Al Khaleej win or draw (double chance) 72% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 54% by the model, 2.52 goals expected
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem: questions and answers
When is Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem?
Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Saudi Pro League.
Where is Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem played?
At Prince Nayef bin Abdul Aziz Sports City Stadium, Al Qatif, Al Khaleej's home ground.
Who will win Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem?
Al Khaleej are the favourites: Al Khaleej 44%, draw 28%, Al Hazem 28%. Our prediction is Al Khaleej 2-1 Al Hazem.
How many goals will there be in Al Khaleej vs Al Hazem?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.