Abha vs Al Faisaly Prediction and Betting Tips | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 8
Saudi Pro League · Tuesday 27 October 2026 · 12:40 UTC · Dhamak Club Stadium, Khamis Mushait · updated 2026-10-25
Abha welcome Al Faisaly to Dhamak Club Stadium in Khamis Mushait in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 8 action on Tuesday 27 October 2026, kick-off 12:40 UTC.
Abha have played 9 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Al Faisaly have played 10 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 10% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Abha 39%, the draw 28%, Al Faisaly 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Abha 1.33, Al Faisaly 1.20.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Abha: form and key numbers
In style Abha are happy without the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.93 a match created, 1.47 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 9.0 a match, 2.9 on target.
- Possession: 45.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
Al Faisaly: form and key numbers
In style Al Faisaly play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.75 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 9.0 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 48.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Abha vs Al Faisaly: season averages side by side
| Abha | Per match this season | Al Faisaly |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 10 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 0.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.07 |
| 1.47 | xG conceded | 1.75 |
| 9.0 | Shots | 9.0 |
| 2.9 | On target | 3.1 |
| 45.2 | Possession % | 48.7 |
| 11% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 70% |
| 3.0 | Corners | 2.6 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.62 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Abha
- Nasser Al-Daajani CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 18 · Dribbler, Long passer (top 26% of his position)
- Khaled Al-Shamrani LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 17 · Dribbler, Ball-winner (top 19% of his position)
Al Faisaly
- Flávio CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 18 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 21% of his position)
- Andrei Girotto CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 17 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 33% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Safwan Al-Johani
Safwan Al-Johani, 23 · Abha · LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 20
Safwan Al-Johani, 23, plays as a full-back for Abha in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and successful dribbles. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 20
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 17
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.12 / 90 | 75% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.94 / 90 | 53% |
| Interceptions | 1.87 / 90 | 45% |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 45% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.10 / 90 | 32% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- What Safwan Al-Johani is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Safwan Al-Johani's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Abha vs Al Faisaly prediction
Al Faisaly should have more of the ball; Abha like to take players on; Al Faisaly go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.33 for Abha and 1.20 for Al Faisaly - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 52%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Abha 1-1 Al Faisaly
Abha vs Al Faisaly betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 54% by the model, 2.52 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 5.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Thursday 29 October 2026
- Al Nassr vs Al Kholood Thursday 29 October 2026
- Abha vs Al Ittihad Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Friday 30 October 2026
- Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq Saturday 31 October 2026
- Al-Fayha vs Al Faisaly Saturday 31 October 2026
Abha vs Al Faisaly: questions and answers
When is Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Abha vs Al Faisaly is on Tuesday 27 October 2026, kick-off 12:40 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 8.
Where is Abha vs Al Faisaly played?
At Dhamak Club Stadium, Khamis Mushait, Abha's home ground.
Who will win Abha vs Al Faisaly?
It is close: Abha 39%, draw 28%, Al Faisaly 33%. Our prediction is Abha 1-1 Al Faisaly.
Who is the player to watch in Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Safwan Al-Johani of Abha: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 20 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.