Angers vs Marseille Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-17
Angers welcome Marseille to Stade Raymond Kopa in Angers in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7 action on Sunday 18 October 2026.
Angers have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Marseille have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Marseille are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Angers at 29%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Angers 0 at 2.51, Marseille at 1.56. The main goals line is 3: over 2.03, under 1.85, which gives over 48%.
Angers: form and key numbers
In style Angers play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 1.81 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.3).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 50.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Marseille: form and key numbers
In style Marseille keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 1.94 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 11.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 57.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Angers vs Marseille: season averages side by side
| Angers | Per match | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.55 |
| 1.81 | xG conceded | 1.94 |
| 1.17 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 14.0 | Shots | 11.8 |
| 3.0 | Shots on target | 4.3 |
| 1.2 | Big chances missed | 1.7 |
| 45.0 | Pressure share % | 47.9 |
| 14.8 | Tackles | 13.3 |
| 10.8 | Fouls | 10.5 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 6 and 6 measured matches.
Angers vs Marseille: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Angers have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Angers 5, Marseille 10 - 3.8 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Angers 2-5 Marseille (January 17th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Angers won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Angers | 2 – 5 | Marseille |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Marseille | 2 – 2 | Angers |
| 9 Feb 2025 | Angers | 0 – 2 | Marseille |
| 4 Oct 2024 | Marseille | 1 – 1 | Angers |
Players to watch
Angers
- Anthony Lopes GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 71 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 6% of his position)
- Carlens Arcus RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 3% of his position)
Marseille
- Emerson LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 67 · Creator, Crosser (top 5% of his position)
- Jeffrey de Lange GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 63 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 11% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Amine Sbaï
Amine Sbaï, 25 · Angers SCO · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 70
Amine Sbaï, 25, plays as a winger for Angers SCO in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 70
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 66
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.31 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.37 / 90 | 91% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.39 / 90 | 84% |
| Big chances created | 0.52 / 90 | 79% |
| Fouls won | 1.74 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Crosser.
- What Amine Sbaï is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Amine Sbaï's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Angers vs Marseille prediction
Marseille should have more of the ball; Angers work the ball wide and cross; Marseille like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.65 for Angers and 1.52 for Marseille - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 64%. Marseille have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Angers 1-2 Marseille
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Angers vs Marseille betting tips
- Tip 1: Marseille win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 3.17 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026
- Lille vs Brest Saturday 17 October 2026
- Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026
- Le Havre vs Auxerre Sunday 18 October 2026
- Lorient vs AS Monaco Sunday 18 October 2026
- Paris FC vs Rennes Sunday 18 October 2026
Angers vs Marseille: questions and answers
When is Angers vs Marseille?
Angers vs Marseille is on Sunday 18 October 2026, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 7.
Where is Angers vs Marseille played?
At Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers, Angers's home ground.
Who will win Angers vs Marseille?
Marseille are the favourites: Angers 29%, draw 27%, Marseille 44%. Our prediction is Angers 1-2 Marseille.
Who is the player to watch in Angers vs Marseille?
Amine Sbaï of Angers SCO: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 70 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Angers vs Marseille?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.