Bodo Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Champions League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Bodo Glimt host Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on Thursday 15 October 2026. The bookmakers make Borussia Dortmund narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 24% and Bodo Glimt at 31%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Bodo Glimt +0.5 at 1.84, Borussia Dortmund at 2.04. The main goals line is 3.25: over 1.74, under 2.13, which gives over 55%.
Form in numbers
- Bodo Glimt create more: 1.85 expected goals a match against 1.72 for Borussia Dortmund.
- Shots a match: Bodo Glimt 12.0 (5.0 on target), Borussia Dortmund 14.5 (5.3 on target).
| Bodo Glimt | Per match | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.72 |
| – | xG conceded | 0.96 |
| 2.40 | Goals | 2.25 |
| 12.0 | Shots | 14.5 |
| 5.0 | Shots on target | 5.3 |
| – | Big chances missed | 2.3 |
| – | Pressure share % | 47.8 |
| 18.8 | Tackles | 18.5 |
| 10.6 | Fouls | 11.3 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 4 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings Bodo Glimt won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 – 2 | Bodo Glimt |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.