Lens vs Sporting Lisbon: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Lens host Sporting Lisbon in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October 2026. The prices see little between them: Lens 40%, the draw 26%, Sporting Lisbon 34% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Lens 0 at 1.75, Sporting Lisbon at 2.14. The main goals line is 3: over 1.93, under 1.94, which gives over 50%.
Form in numbers
- Lens create more: 2.08 expected goals a match against 1.38 for Sporting Lisbon.
- Shots a match: Lens 14.8 (6.4 on target), Sporting Lisbon 8.0 (5.0 on target).
| Lens | Per match | Sporting Lisbon |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.38 |
| 1.92 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.80 | Goals | 3.00 |
| 14.8 | Shots | 8.0 |
| 6.4 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 3.2 | Big chances missed | – |
| 59.1 | Pressure share % | – |
| 17.0 | Tackles | 14.0 |
| 11.4 | Fouls | 13.0 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 1 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.
Open Lens vs Sporting Lisbon in the Match Centre Follow it live
More UEFA Champions League previews
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.