Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach · updated 2026-10-17
Borussia Mönchengladbach welcome Paderborn to Stadion im Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga Gameweek 8 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have played 5 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 3.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. Paderborn have played 5 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Borussia Mönchengladbach 39%, the draw 24%, Paderborn 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.68, Paderborn 1.62.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Mönchengladbach are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 2.83 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
Paderborn: form and key numbers
In style Paderborn play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.00 a match created, 1.66 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.0).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 2.6 on target.
- Possession: 47.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 20% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn: season averages side by side
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | Per match this season | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 0.6 |
| 3.6 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.00 |
| 2.83 | xG conceded | 1.66 |
| 16.4 | Shots | 14.0 |
| 4.8 | On target | 2.6 |
| 48.4 | Possession % | 47.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 20% |
| 6.6 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.57 | Average rating | 6.86 |
Players to watch
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Moritz Nicolas GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 51 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Philipp Sander DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 46 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 3% of his position)
Paderborn
- Nahuel Noll GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 66 · Long passer, Box defender (top 2% of his position)
- Tjark Scheller CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Blocks shots, Duel winner (top 10% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Laurin Curda
Laurin Curda, 24 · Paderborn · RMF · Two-way wide midfielder · Moneyball Score 63
Laurin Curda, 24, plays as a wide midfielder for Paderborn in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in duels won and key passes. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wide midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 63
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 59
- RWB · Wing-back Competent, 55
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 9.06 / 90 | 92% |
| Key passes | 2.11 / 90 | 89% |
| Tackles | 2.74 / 90 | 86% |
| Interceptions | 1.48 / 90 | 86% |
| Dispossessed | 0.84 / 90 | 83% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Chance creator, Ball-winner.
- What Laurin Curda is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Laurin Curda's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.68 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.62 for Paderborn - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 Paderborn
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 64% by the model, 3.30 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Bundesliga previews
- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Friday 23 October 2026
- Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Saturday 24 October 2026
- FC Köln vs Schalke 04 Saturday 24 October 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Saturday 24 October 2026
- FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin Saturday 24 October 2026
- RB Leipzig vs Elversberg Saturday 24 October 2026
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Saturday 24 October 2026
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Sunday 25 October 2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn: questions and answers
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 8.
Where is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn played?
At Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach, Borussia Mönchengladbach's home ground.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn?
It is close: Borussia Mönchengladbach 39%, draw 24%, Paderborn 37%. Our prediction is Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 Paderborn.
Who is the player to watch in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn?
Laurin Curda of Paderborn: a two-way wide midfielder with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.