Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 10
Premier League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer · updated 2026-10-25
Brighton & Hove Albion welcome Brentford to The American Express Community Stadium in Falmer in Premier League Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Brighton & Hove Albion have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 3.3 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 71% of them. At home they average 3.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 60% win rate. Brentford have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Brighton & Hove Albion are narrow favourites at 60%, with the draw at 20% and Brentford at 20%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Brighton & Hove Albion 2.33, Brentford 1.30.
- Over 2.5 goals: 70% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Brighton & Hove Albion: form and key numbers
In style Brighton & Hove Albion keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.05 a match created, 1.47 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.6).
- Shots: 17.9 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 59.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 71% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Brentford: form and key numbers
In style Brentford are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.81 a match created, 1.51 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 44.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford: season averages side by side
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Per match this season | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 3.3 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 2.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.81 |
| 1.47 | xG conceded | 1.51 |
| 17.9 | Shots | 15.0 |
| 6.0 | On target | 4.1 |
| 59.7 | Possession % | 44.7 |
| 71% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 29% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 7.03 | Average rating | 6.82 |
Players to watch
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Pascal Groß CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 66 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Luka Vuskovic CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 65 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
Brentford
- Caoimhín Kelleher GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 71 · Long passer, Box defender (top 10% of his position)
- Vitaly Janelt DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 59 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper, 25 · Brighton & Hove Albion · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 61
Maxim De Cuyper, 25, plays as a wing-back for Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and key passes. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 61
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 61
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 55
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.20 / 90 | 92% |
| Key passes | 2.47 / 90 | 89% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.54 / 90 | 80% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 80% |
| Dribbled past | 0.46 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
- What Maxim De Cuyper is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maxim De Cuyper's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion should have more of the ball, with Brentford likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 2.33 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.30 for Brentford - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 66%. Brighton & Hove Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford betting tips
- Tip 1: Brighton & Hove Albion to win 60% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 70% by the model, 3.63 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
- Sunderland vs Leeds United Sunday 25 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Manchester United Saturday 31 October 2026
- Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Saturday 31 October 2026
- Hull City vs Ipswich Town Saturday 31 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Sunderland Saturday 31 October 2026
- Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 31 October 2026
- AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United Saturday 31 October 2026
- Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace Saturday 31 October 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford: questions and answers
When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford?
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 10.
Where is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford played?
At The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, Brighton & Hove Albion's home ground.
Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford?
Brighton & Hove Albion are the favourites: Brighton & Hove Albion 60%, draw 20%, Brentford 20%. Our prediction is Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 Brentford.
Who is the player to watch in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford?
Maxim De Cuyper of Brighton & Hove Albion: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.