Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 10
Premier League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Selhurst Park, London · updated 2026-10-25
Crystal Palace welcome Liverpool to Selhurst Park in London in Premier League Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Crystal Palace have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Liverpool have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 43% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Liverpool are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 23% and Crystal Palace at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.30, Liverpool 1.91.
- Over 2.5 goals: 62% · both teams to score: 63%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Crystal Palace: form and key numbers
In style Crystal Palace are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.17 a match created, 2.32 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 10.1 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 43.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Liverpool: form and key numbers
In style Liverpool keep the ball, press high, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 1.31 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.1).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 55.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: season averages side by side
| Crystal Palace | Per match this season | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 2.4 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.17 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.73 |
| 2.32 | xG conceded | 1.31 |
| 10.1 | Shots | 15.7 |
| 3.7 | On target | 5.0 |
| 43.3 | Possession % | 55.7 |
| 14% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 43% |
| 3.1 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.6 |
| 6.71 | Average rating | 6.88 |
Players to watch
Crystal Palace
- Chris Richards CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Blocks shots, Hard to dribble past (top 5% of his position)
- Dean Henderson GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 56 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
Liverpool
- Jérémy Jacquet CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 72 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Virgil van Dijk CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 67 · Hard to dribble past, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak, 27 · Liverpool · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 64
Alexander Isak, 27, plays as a centre-forward for Liverpool in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 64
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 58
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 50
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 xG/shot | 93% |
| Expected goals | 0.72 / 90 | 90% |
| Goals | 0.91 / 90 | 89% |
| Shots | 3.10 / 90 | 67% |
| Shots on target | 47% | 62% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher.
- What Alexander Isak is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alexander Isak's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction
Liverpool should have more of the ball, with Crystal Palace likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Liverpool are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.30 for Crystal Palace and 1.91 for Liverpool - with over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 63%. Liverpool have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Crystal Palace 1-2 Liverpool
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool betting tips
- Tip 1: Liverpool win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 62% by the model, 3.22 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
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- Hull City vs Ipswich Town Saturday 31 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Sunderland Saturday 31 October 2026
- Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 31 October 2026
- AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United Saturday 31 October 2026
- Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace Saturday 31 October 2026
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: questions and answers
When is Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 10.
Where is Crystal Palace vs Liverpool played?
At Selhurst Park, London, Crystal Palace's home ground.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are the favourites: Crystal Palace 25%, draw 23%, Liverpool 51%. Our prediction is Crystal Palace 1-2 Liverpool.
Who is the player to watch in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Alexander Isak of Liverpool: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.