Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central Prediction and Stats
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela · updated 2026-11-12
Defensa y Justicia welcome Barracas Central to Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello in Florencio Varela in Liga Profesional Argentina action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Defensa y Justicia have played 32 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 38% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 16 matches, with a 50% win rate. Barracas Central have played 32 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 38% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 16 matches, with a 42% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Defensa y Justicia 39%, the draw 31%, Barracas Central 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Defensa y Justicia 1.15, Barracas Central 0.95.
- Over 2.5 goals: 35% · both teams to score: 43%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (32 and 32 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Defensa y Justicia: form and key numbers
In style Defensa y Justicia play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.18 a match created, 1.14 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 51.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 28% of matches (56% at home).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 7.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Barracas Central: form and key numbers
In style Barracas Central are happy without the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.99 a match created, 1.00 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 45.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 34% of matches (45% away).
- Both teams scored in 47% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central: season averages side by side
| Defensa y Justicia | Per match this season | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Matches | 32 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 1.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.99 |
| 1.14 | xG conceded | 1.00 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 4.6 | On target | 4.0 |
| 51.9 | Possession % | 45.5 |
| 28% | Clean sheets % | 34% |
| 53% | Both teams scored % | 47% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Defensa y Justicia
- Éver Banega CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 53 · Long passer, Ball-winner (top 2% of his position)
- Maximiliano Porcel AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 52 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 14% of his position)
Barracas Central
- Nicolás Orsini CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 63 · Dominant in the air, Gets into scoring positions (top 7% of his position)
- Enzo Taborda RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 59 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 13% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Damián Fernández
Damián Fernández, 25 · Defensa y Justicia · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 51
Damián Fernández, 25, plays as a centre-back for Defensa y Justicia in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in tackles and clearances. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 51
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 2.94 / 90 | 93% |
| Clearances | 8.10 / 90 | 91% |
| Duels won | 6.30 / 90 | 79% |
| Aerial duels won | 2.66 / 90 | 63% |
| Long balls | 2.86 / 90 | 55% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Box defender.
- What Damián Fernández is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Damián Fernández's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central prediction
Defensa y Justicia should have more of the ball, with Barracas Central likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Defensa y Justicia go long and direct; Barracas Central are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals - 1.15 for Defensa y Justicia and 0.95 for Barracas Central - with over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams scoring at 43%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Barracas Central
Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 65% by the model, 2.10 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 11.3 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 7.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central: questions and answers
When is Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central?
Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina.
Where is Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central played?
At Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Florencio Varela, Defensa y Justicia's home ground.
Who will win Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central?
It is close: Defensa y Justicia 39%, draw 31%, Barracas Central 29%. Our prediction is Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Barracas Central.
Who is the player to watch in Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central?
Damián Fernández of Defensa y Justicia: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 51 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 35%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.