Inter vs Como Prediction and Betting Tips | Serie A Gameweek 11
Serie A · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano · updated 2026-10-25
Inter welcome Como to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano in Serie A Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Inter have played 7 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 86% of them. At home they average 3.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate. Como have played 8 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 63% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Inter are narrow favourites at 57%, with the draw at 21% and Como at 22%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Inter 2.22, Como 1.34.
- Over 2.5 goals: 69% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Inter: form and key numbers
In style Inter keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.81 a match created, 1.10 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 21.7 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 62.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.08.
Como: form and key numbers
In style Como keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.84 a match created, 1.42 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.7).
- Shots: 20.8 a match, 6.8 on target.
- Possession: 60.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.04.
Inter vs Como: season averages side by side
| Inter | Per match this season | Como |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 8 |
| 3.0 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 2.81 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.84 |
| 1.10 | xG conceded | 1.42 |
| 21.7 | Shots | 20.8 |
| 7.3 | On target | 6.8 |
| 62.7 | Possession % | 60.4 |
| 29% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 63% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 7.1 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 7.08 | Average rating | 7.04 |
Players to watch
Inter
- Manuel Akanji CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 73 · Secure passer, Reads the game (top 3% of his position)
- Lautaro Martínez CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 68 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 1% of his position)
Como
- Luis Milla CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 75 · Reads the game, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
- Lucas Da Cunha CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Press-resistant, Ball circulator (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram, 29 · Inter · CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 73
Marcus Thuram, 29, plays as a centre-forward for Inter in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 73
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 64
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 58
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4.63 / 90 | 93% |
| Expected goals | 0.74 / 90 | 87% |
| Goals | 0.98 / 90 | 85% |
| Duels won | 6.34 / 90 | 77% |
| Key passes | 1.46 / 90 | 76% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher.
- What Marcus Thuram is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marcus Thuram's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Inter vs Como prediction
Inter should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 2.22 for Inter and 1.34 for Como - with over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 66%. Inter have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Inter 3-1 Como
Inter vs Como betting tips
- Tip 1: Inter to win 57% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 69% by the model, 3.57 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 12.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Serie A previews
- Lecce vs Juventus Sunday 25 October 2026
- Udinese vs AC Milan Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sassuolo vs Lazio Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Torino vs Como Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Roma vs Cagliari Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Venezia vs Inter Wednesday 28 October 2026
- Parma vs Udinese Wednesday 28 October 2026
- AC Milan vs Bologna Wednesday 28 October 2026
Inter vs Como: questions and answers
When is Inter vs Como?
Inter vs Como is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 11.
Where is Inter vs Como played?
At Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Inter's home ground.
Who will win Inter vs Como?
Inter are the favourites: Inter 57%, draw 21%, Como 22%. Our prediction is Inter 3-1 Como.
Who is the player to watch in Inter vs Como?
Marcus Thuram of Inter: a complete forward with a Moneyball Score of 73 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Como?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.