RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: Prediction, Odds and Preview
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday 14 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
RB Leipzig host PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October 2026. The bookmakers make RB Leipzig narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 24% and PSV Eindhoven at 31%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is RB Leipzig -0.5 at 2.04, PSV Eindhoven at 1.84. The main goals line is 3.25: over 1.72, under 2.16, which gives over 56%.
Form in numbers
- RB Leipzig create more: 2.09 expected goals a match against 0.52 for PSV Eindhoven.
- Shots a match: RB Leipzig 18.8 (6.3 on target), PSV Eindhoven 10.0 (2.0 on target).
| RB Leipzig | Per match | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.52 |
| 1.11 | xG conceded | – |
| 2.25 | Goals | 1.00 |
| 18.8 | Shots | 10.0 |
| 6.3 | Shots on target | 2.0 |
| 1.8 | Big chances missed | – |
| 63.9 | Pressure share % | – |
| 11.8 | Tackles | 22.0 |
| 9.3 | Fouls | 14.0 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 4 and 1 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.