Levante vs Athletic Club Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 6
La Liga · Wednesday 21 October 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia · updated 2026-10-17
Levante welcome Athletic Club to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia in La Liga Gameweek 6 action on Wednesday 21 October 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Levante have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 13% of them. At home they average 3.3 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Athletic Club have played 6 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Athletic Club are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 26% and Levante at 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Levante 1.33, Athletic Club 1.56.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.2).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 43.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Athletic Club: form and key numbers
In style Athletic Club keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 1.29 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.3).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 52.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Levante vs Athletic Club: season averages side by side
| Levante | Per match this season | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.23 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.55 |
| 1.99 | xG conceded | 1.29 |
| 11.9 | Shots | 15.7 |
| 4.3 | On target | 4.7 |
| 43.9 | Possession % | 52.5 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 63% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 3.5 | Corners | 6.2 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.86 |
Players to watch
Levante
- Aïssa Mandi CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 4% of his position)
- Mathew Ryan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 53 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 21% of his position)
Athletic Club
- Cem Gürsoy CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 65 · Dribbler, Long passer (top 8% of his position)
- Unai Simón GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 62 · Long passer, Box defender (top 24% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yuri Berchiche
Yuri Berchiche, 36 · Athletic Club · LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 67
Yuri Berchiche, 36, plays as a full-back for Athletic Club in La Liga. Strongest for his role in passes and pass accuracy. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 67
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Passes | 66.70 / 90 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 96% |
| Key passes | 1.47 / 90 | 93% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.17 / 90 | 87% |
| Dribbled past | 0.49 / 90 | 67% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Ball circulator, Secure passer, Chance creator.
- What Yuri Berchiche is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yuri Berchiche's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Levante vs Athletic Club prediction
Athletic Club should have more of the ball, with Levante likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Levante go long and direct; Athletic Club work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.33 for Levante and 1.56 for Athletic Club - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Athletic Club have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Levante 1-2 Athletic Club
Levante vs Athletic Club betting tips
- Tip 1: Athletic Club win or draw (double chance) 68% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.89 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Saturday 24 October 2026
- Racing Santander vs Espanyol Saturday 24 October 2026
- Valencia vs Villarreal Saturday 24 October 2026
- Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 24 October 2026
- Athletic Club vs Getafe Sunday 25 October 2026
- Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Sunday 25 October 2026
- Real Sociedad vs Levante Sunday 25 October 2026
Levante vs Athletic Club: questions and answers
When is Levante vs Athletic Club?
Levante vs Athletic Club is on Wednesday 21 October 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 6.
Where is Levante vs Athletic Club played?
At Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia, Levante's home ground.
Who will win Levante vs Athletic Club?
Athletic Club are the favourites: Levante 32%, draw 26%, Athletic Club 42%. Our prediction is Levante 1-2 Athletic Club.
Who is the player to watch in Levante vs Athletic Club?
Yuri Berchiche of Athletic Club: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Athletic Club?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.